


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
335 FXAK67 PAJK 012150 AFDAJK Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 150 PM AKDT Tue Apr 1 2025 .SHORT TERM...The blocking pattern continues for SE AK through the short term period. With that in mind, made very minimal changes to the forecast and left most of the going forecast the same as is. The northerly gradient that has been in place is expected to weaken and winds will continue to weaken. Otherwise, mostly clear skies and warm daytime temperatures will continue. .LONG TERM...Dry conditions remain until Friday. Winds have decreased to southerly light breezes for the majority of the panhandle preceding the gale force front expected to reach us Friday night. Temperatures continue to rise slowly through the week, with the majority of the panhandle expected to see highs near or above 50 degrees going into the weekend. The deep low forming in the gulf is currently moving northeast with models dropping as low as 975mb as the front reaches the outer coast. This front will be accompanied by strong gales and sea heights possibly exceeding 18 ft off the coast in the eastern gulf. This system is expected to bring elevated winds to the inner channels, with the potential for gales near channel entrances. Precipitation associated with this system will impact the panhandle through Saturday peaking overnight into Sunday. The northern and central coastal regions will experience the onset first, as well as the highest accumulated amounts as the front moves eastward. Yakutat is expected to receive the most precipitation with 2-3 inches through the weekend. The majority of impacts will occur Saturday afternoon, and the active pattern is expected to continue through the weekend. && .AVIATION.../Until 00Z Thursday/..CIG & VIS conditions will remain within the VFR flight category, & generally benign SFC winds are in store for Southeast Alaska through the TAF period. The only exception will be PAGY, which will see some relatively gusty southerly winds up to between 15 & 20 kts into this evening before becoming light & the gusts picking-up, once again, tomorrow afternoon. LLWS values will remain benign through the period. && .MARINE...With the weakening pressure gradient, Inner Channel winds should decrease in speed this evening and into the overnight hours. Marine winds and waves are expected to remain on the quiet side until the end of the week when a gale force front is expected to move into the Gulf by Friday. Seas are expected to increase along the outer coast with this front with peaks near 20ft along the outer coast Friday night before winds decrease again. && .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SF LONG TERM....ZTK AVIATION...JLC MARINE...SF Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau