421
FNAK79 PAFG 301451
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Last Chance Creek 411305...Northern forestry dispatch center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
651 AM AKDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Another hot day expected today with highs near 80 and minimum RH
values near 35 percent. Slightly cooler temperatures anticipated
Monday. Overnight RH recovery will be good. Southwest winds
increase through the day Monday with gusts to 15 mph. Isolated
thunderstorms possible through Tuesday as the thermal trough
remains over the fire area. A pattern change begins Tuesday with
increasing southwesterly winds, followed by increasing wetting
rain chances Wednesday into the latter half of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated showers in the
                    morning. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 5900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 4 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Areas of smoke. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Areas of smoke. Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...Kayla Bryan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416910.1/AFG
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0