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FNAK79 PAFG 030637
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Birch Lake Fire...State of Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1037 PM AKDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Red Flag Conditions are expected Thursday as hot, dry, and windy
conditions are expected to continue. Temperatures will remain in
the mid 80s until Sunday. Minimum RH values will be in the low
20s. Winds will be light Thursday morning, and will not be near
15 mph until 2-4 pm when solar mixing begins. These strong winds
will primarily be gusts, and not sustained. No thunderstorms are
expected until Saturday.
.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 11 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0800 AKDT

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....0000 AKDT

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 4 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0900 AKDT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Haze. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Not as warm. Haze. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...DENNIS
Requested by...Bryan Quimby
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517024.2/AFG
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL torrey.short@alaska.gov,brittany.stillie@alaska.gov,bryan_quimby@fws.gov