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FNAK79 PAFG 060153
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 484 Medicine...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
553 PM AKDT Tue Aug 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on August 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers will continue across the area this evening, an
isolated thunderstorm may be embedded with some of the cells.
There is a good chance of wetting rain tonight as well. Storm
chances will diminish around 2200 AKDT and shower will be more
isolated throughout the night. Similar conditions will continue
for the next few days, with the exception of wetting rain. The
next best chance for it won`t be until the end of the weekend. SW
winds will be diurnally driven each day with sustained speeds up
to 8 mph during peak heating. The SW ridgetop winds are expected
to increase, only for tomorrow, to around 20 mph. Any
thunderstorms that form around the fire may cause gusty and
erratic winds. Temperatures will increase slightly tomorrow and
Thursday with values in the mid to upper 70s. This won`t be long
lived, as the highs will drop back to the upper 60s by Friday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................56 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....No Inversion.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West/southwest winds 18 to 22 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...No Inversion.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 2300 AKDT.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Cooler. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 70. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Upper Yukon Zone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519212.2/AFG
.DELDT 08/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL akyfdc@firenet.gov,aswatson@blm.gov,bpitts@blm.gov