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FNAK79 PAFG 040310
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 279 Moldy...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
710 PM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on August 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are looking to
continue throughout the night, with thunderstorm chances dropping
off around 2300 AKDT. Similar shower and thunderstorm conditions
are in store for Monday as a front moves south over the fire.
However, thunderstorm chances will be lower on Monday compared to
Sunday. With the frontal passage Monday night, the W/SW winds will
become light. Isolated afternoon showers will continue for the
rest of the week with the favorable, upper-level moist flow out of
the west. Temperatures will be around the mid 70s for most of the
period, with a brief warmup on Wednesday to the upper 70s. But
will drop back to the low 70s the next day. Given the multiple
chances for rain, minimum RHs will be around 50 percent, with good
overnight RH recovery.

Cooler temperatures and showery conditions are expected at the
end of the week and into the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated showers overnight.
CWR.................15 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 2200 AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West/northwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...TWOMBLY
Requested by...Galena Zone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518195.13/AFG
.DELDT 08/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL AKYFDC@firenet.gov,trenton.girard@usda.gov