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FNAK79 PAFG 010809
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Birch Lake Fire...State of Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1209 AM AKDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 AKDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot, dry, and windy conditions are expected tomorrow. Temperatures
will warm up to the mid 80s by Wednesday afternoon, with minimum
RH values around 25 percent. Temperatures today will still be
around 80, but the southeast winds will help to keep it from
drying out. Winds will turn to the northeast by noon Wednesday and
strengthen to around 15 mph sustained. The winds will be short
lived with them weakening by midnight. There could be an isolated
thunderstorm on Wednesday. With how dry near the surface will be,
expect very little rainfall accumulation with these thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze.
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0700 AKDT

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Haze.
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....0000 AKDT

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Haze. Isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 10 to 14 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0600 AKDT

$$
Forecaster...DENNIS
Requested by...Bryan Quimby
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517024.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brittany.stillie@alaska.gov,bryan_quimby@fws.gov,torrey.short@alaska.gov