964
FXAK69 PAFG 131238
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
438 AM AKDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
The remnants of Typhoon Halong exit Alaska through the North
Slope into the Eastern Arctic Ocean Monday morning. Winds continue
to calm down in the wake of the storm. High waters begin to receed
in most places Monday morning. Relatively mild weather is
expected through the end of the week with a slight cooling trend
and some rain and snow.

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...
- Breezy southwesterly winds early Monday morning continue to
  diminish through the day.

- Areas of rain and high elevation snow expected across the
  southern interior on Monday then southeastern interior on
  Tuesday. Snow levels range from 1500-2000 ft with up to 3 inches
  above 2000 ft by Wed morning.

West Coast and Western Interior...
- Breezy southwesterly winds in the wake of Ex-Typhoon Halong
  continue to diminish through Monday. Winds weaken earliest in
  the southwest and diminish later in the northeast.

- High waters in the wake of Ex-Typhoon Halong peaked Sunday
  evening and overnight. Water levels are expected to lower
  towards normal quickly Monday.

- Weak southerly flow returns to the west coast Tuesday along
  with additional light rain, although heavier along south facing
  slopes. Winds shift easterly and increase Wednesday while light
  rain continues. Winds diminish again Thursday.

North Slope and Brooks Range..
- Stronger gusty southwest winds in the Brooks Range and along
  the Eastern North slope diminish Monday morning.

- Areas of heavy snow continue in the Brooks Range Monday and
  slowly lessens through the day. Areas of low visibility due to
  blowing snow in the Brooks Range quickly improve Monday morning.

- Areas of lighter snow expected along the North Slope Monday
  morning, with potential for rain and rain/snow mix further east.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
Ex-Typhoon Halong continues to move northeast out of the state and
was positioned over the North Slope as of early Monday morning. It
is expected to quickly move east-northeast into the Beaufort Sea
and onwards into Canada today while simultaneously quickly
weakening. This allows the strong winds and high waters of the
storm to diminish rapidly Monday morning from the southwest at the
earliest and to the northeast at the latest.

Another strong low moves out of the North Pacific and along the
Aleutians towards southern Alaska Tuesday through Wednesday, but
is weaker and less organized than previous storms. It`s most
likely impact will be widespread precipitation across the state
with some breezy northeast winds through the Interior. Given how
quickly this system becomes disorganized once it reaches the
Alaskan Peninsula, its exact impacts are difficult to gauge, but
generally low impact weather is currently expected.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...
At the start of the extended forecast period, Wednesday night,
another low pressure system will have moved east across the
Aleutians and into southern Alaska. This is expected to bring
substantial moisture across the state as the low slowly moves
north through the end of the week. This low loses most of its
organization as it moves north and thus winds are not expected to
be very noteworthy. It will be quite wet however and large areas
of light rain are expected with snow at higher elevations.

Over the weekend there is a chance for another strong low pressure
system to move out of the North Pacific towards the Aleutians, but
confidence is still low in the strength and position of this low.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
A low pressure system lifts north along the West Coast Wednesday
through Friday with moderate westerly winds developing on the
south side of this system. There is a chance for high surf in the
YK Delta Wednesday night that gradually shifts north into the
Norton Sound by Thursday night.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...Coastal Flood Advisory for AKZ801>803.
     Coastal Flood Advisory for AKZ815.
     Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ816>818-820.
     Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ821.
     Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ822-824.
     Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ825-827.
     Winter Storm Warning for AKZ807-809.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ809-855-860.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ814.
     Gale Warning for PKZ815-861.
&&

$$

Stokes