060
FNAK71 PAFC 081812
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Nelchina Glacier Fire...SOA DOF
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1012 AM AKDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 AKDT on July 08.
.DISCUSSION...
Updated to add isolated wet thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

An unstable airmass is lingering over the forecast area today,
therefore any additional sunshine in the afternoon hours could lead to
further surface heating and result in a redevelopment of scattered
showers and a slight chance for a wet thunderstorm for late this
afternoon and evening. As the storm moves east today, winds through
Chickaloon and Tahneta Passes are expected to increase, possibly
reaching all the way to Eureka and the fire location for late this
afternoon and evening. While there is low confidence in the gusty
winds reaching all the way to the fire location, occasional wind
gusts near 20 mph  cannot be ruled out this afternoon/evening.
Clear and dry conditions will prevail for Wednesday as temperatures
climb back into the lower 60s with min RH values falling into the
lower 40 percent range.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent diminishing to 40 in the afternoon.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Occasional gusts 12 to 20 mph
possible mid afternoon through early evening.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph becoming southwest 8 to 15 mph
in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.08 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated rain showers overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 15 mph becoming
west around 10 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Ben Englehardt
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517468.0/AER
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL firencolorado@gmail.com,daniel.white@alaska.gov,andy_johnson@firenet.gov,fireinalaska@yahoo.com,jered.kemp@alaska.gov