Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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046
FNAK51 PAFC 061130
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Cloudy, generally moist, and progressively cooler conditions are
on deck for Southcentral Alaska. A series of troughs will move
across from the Gulf of Alaska into the Kenai and north through
Anchorage and the Mat-Su over the next few days. Little to no
appreciable precipitation is expected today for much of the area
with the exception of the southern Kenai, where a wetting rain is
possible, particularly south of about Clam Gulch. Winds will be
gusty at times out of gaps, particularly for the Knik Valley.
Southeast wind out of Turnagain Arm affecting south Anchorage may
also be possible later today.

Temperatures will be trending cooler Monday and more so on
Tuesday as colder air moves into the region. Precipitation is
likely to changeover to snow, though accumulation will generally
be minimal across the active fire zones. Wouldn`t rule out a
couple inches of snow accumulation, though warm ground temps and
air temps hovering around freezing may inhibit accumulation.

AKZ701-070215-
ANCHORAGE / EAGLE RIVER (LOWER ELEVATIONS)-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...EKLUTNA
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           70           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   46-48 (-2)   27-29 (-8)   33-35
RH % (24H TREND)   49-58 (-5)   83-90 (0)    52-66
20FTWND(MPH)       E 1-18 G31   SE 1-17 G31  NW 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3466                      2135
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 21                     NW  7
CWR                0            0            50
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  67413                     14945

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ711-070215-
LOWER MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...BIG LAKE
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           70           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   48-50 (-2)   28-30 (-8)   35-36
RH % (24H TREND)   38-48 (-8)   81-86 (-3)   49-64
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-15      SE 1-13 G23  W 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5124                      2687
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 18                     NW  7
CWR                0            0            50
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  82318                     26610

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ721-070215-
SOUTHERN KACHEMAK BAY-
INCLUDING...SELDOVIA...HALIBUT COVE...NANWALEK
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   40-44 (-3)   24-29 (-8)   31-37
RH % (24H TREND)   65-83 (0)    87-94 (0)    69-77
20FTWND(MPH)       S 1-6        W 5-16       NW 6-22
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2088                      2555
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 13                      NW 15
CWR                50           20           10
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  35835                     59275

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ722-070215-
SOUTHWEST KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...HOMER...ANCHOR POINT...NINILCHIK...CLAM GULCH
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-45 (-3)   28-31 (-4)   34-37
RH % (24H TREND)   61-74 (+10)  91-93 (0)    63-73
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 0-8       S 2-7        N 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3509                      3516
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     N  9
CWR                30           20           10
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  43226                     28440

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ723-070215-
NORTHWEST KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...STERLING...NIKISKI
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   45-49 (-1)   28-31 (-5)   35-38
RH % (24H TREND)   51-64 (+4)   88-92 (0)    53-59
20FTWND(MPH)       E 2-11 G19   S 0-9 G18    NE 4-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4607                      3617
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 14                     N  8
CWR                20           20           0
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  73304                     28416

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ724-070215-
SKILAK LAKE / EASTERN STERLING HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING...COOPER LANDING...SKILAK LAKE
330 AM AKDT Sun Apr 6 2025

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   42-48 (-4)   27-29 (-5)   34-37
RH % (24H TREND)   53-66 (+8)   88-93 (0)    54-69
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 3-13 G21  SE 3-13 G21  N 5-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4318                      3129
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 16                     N  9
CWR                30           20           10
TSTM COV IDX       1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  56641                     24310

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$