Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
472
FNAK51 PAFC 161225
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Weak flow aloft and moist, southeast flow will keep mostly cloudy
skies and seasonal temperatures across the area through the weekend.
Areas of showers will be more numerous toward the Copper River Basin
but some may still pass through at times with weak upper level waves.
Some Turnagain Arm winds may develop again late Saturday afternoon
into the overnight hours, but other than that there are no significant
winds expected around the area the next few days.
AKZ701-170415-
ANCHORAGE / EAGLE RIVER (LOWER ELEVATIONS)-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...EKLUTNA
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 55-57 (-2) 42-44 (0) 54-57
RH % (24H TREND) 52-57 (+14) 84-87 (+9) 59-63
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-5 SW 3-7 N 1-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4202 4443
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 5 SE 7
CWR 0 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24189 28455
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ711-170415-
LOWER MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...BIG LAKE
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-58 (-1) 43-44 (0) 56-58
RH % (24H TREND) 50-54 (+14) 83-86 (+9) 56-61
20FTWND(MPH) SW 1-6 SW 4-7 S 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4955 4229
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 6
CWR 0 20 10
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31448 28776
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ712-170415-
HATCHER PASS-
INCLUDING...HATCHER PASS
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-55 (-2) 39-42 (+1) 51-54
RH % (24H TREND) 55-60 (+20) 82-84 (+6) 62-68
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-5 W 2-5 W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4497 3968
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 S 6
CWR 10 20 20
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16252 22374
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ713-170415-
SUTTON / UPPER MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (-1) 41-43 (+4) 50-56
RH % (24H TREND) 50-55 (+17) 82-84 (+7) 52-58
20FTWND(MPH) SW 1-5 LGT/VAR SW 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3967 3785
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 SW 7
CWR 20 30 30
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19766 25576
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ721-170415-
SOUTHERN KACHEMAK BAY-
INCLUDING...SELDOVIA...HALIBUT COVE...NANWALEK
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 48-52 (+2) 38-43 (-1) 49-55
RH % (24H TREND) 65-82 (+8) 82-92 (0) 60-72
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-6 W 2-7 W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1581 2394
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 SW 7
CWR 40 0 10
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 6197 16758
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ722-170415-
SOUTHWEST KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...HOMER...ANCHOR POINT...NINILCHIK...CLAM GULCH
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-53 (-1) 37-40 (-2) 49-53
RH % (24H TREND) 63-74 (+19) 87-91 (+3) 62-68
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-7 SW 3-8 SW 3-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4073 3185
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 3 S 7
CWR 30 0 20
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 13396 20830
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ723-170415-
NORTHWEST KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...STERLING...NIKISKI
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-57 (-2) 41-42 (-1) 54-57
RH % (24H TREND) 52-61 (+19) 84-89 (+7) 58-65
20FTWND(MPH) N 3-6 W 3-7 NW 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4731 3574
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 5 S 5
CWR 0 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22074 14245
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ724-170415-
SKILAK LAKE / EASTERN STERLING HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING...COOPER LANDING...SKILAK LAKE
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (0) 39-42 (0) 52-58
RH % (24H TREND) 52-64 (+12) 82-88 (+5) 54-65
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 1-6 SW 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4653 3574
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)E 5 S 6
CWR 30 20 20
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16838 21680
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ726-170415-
INTERIOR KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...MOOSE PASS...SUMMIT LAKE...HOPE
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-56 (+2) 39-42 (+2) 52-58
RH % (24H TREND) 50-61 (+8) 84-90 (+1) 51-64
20FTWND(MPH) E 0-5 LGT/VAR E 4-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3113 3201
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 3 SE 9
CWR 20 20 30
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 11373 24976
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ742-170415-
WESTERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...NELCHINA...TOLSONA...MENDELTNA
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (+6) 37-40 (+2) 50-54
RH % (24H TREND) 50-57 (-3) 84-91 (+3) 52-58
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4906 4621
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 S 7
CWR 0 20 20
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25192 37884
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ743-170415-
CENTRAL COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...GAKONA...COPPER CENTER
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 53-56 (+5) 39-41 (0) 54-57
RH % (24H TREND) 48-54 (-7) 87-91 (+4) 49-56
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 2-5 S 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4959 4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 9
CWR 0 20 20
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28028 36960
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ744-170415-
ERNESTINE-
INCLUDING...TONSINA...46 MILE
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 46-53 (+5) 36-38 (+2) 45-53
RH % (24H TREND) 54-66 (+1) 87-92 (+2) 53-67
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 1-6 S 4-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3768 3596
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 6 S 13
CWR 10 30 30
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16275 39556
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ746-170415-
SOUTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...WILLOW
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-57 (0) 41-43 (0) 56-57
RH % (24H TREND) 48-53 (+9) 83-86 (+8) 55-61
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-5 SW 2-7 S 3-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5027 4464
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 3 S 6
CWR 0 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19481 30324
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ747-170415-
CENTRAL SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...TRAPPER CREEK...PETERSVILLE
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 54-57 (0) 39-42 (0) 52-56
RH % (24H TREND) 48-58 (+12) 83-88 (+5) 55-65
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4817 4518
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 S 5
CWR 0 0 10
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18219 21795
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ749-170415-
SOUTHERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KENNY LAKE...CHITINA
425 AM AKDT Fri May 16 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 51-57 (+3) 37-40 (0) 50-56
RH % (24H TREND) 50-59 (+6) 84-88 (+4) 51-60
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 1-6 SE 4-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4678 4098
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 5 S 9
CWR 0 30 30
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22181 36210
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$