Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
458
FNUS55 KTWC 082146
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Excessive heat will persist this week across the
majority of Southeast Arizona. This afternoon should see the
lowest minimum relative humidities of the week as moisture is
expected to gradually push back into southeastern Arizona in the
coming days. Relative humidity values should fall into the single
digits in lower elevations today, while west to northwest winds of
12 to 16 mph with gusts up to 25 mph are expected. Tuesday
through Thursday minimum relative humidities should remain in the
10 to 16 percent range in lower elevations and 15 to 30 percent in
mountain areas. 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less
each afternoon with occasional gusts to 20 mph. Daily chances for
thunderstorms begin to arrive Tuesday, with the possibility of
strong outflow winds under any thunderstorm.
AZZ150-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............32 to 42 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 15 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15183 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 knots shifting to the west 13
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (197379 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............12910 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 knots shifting to the west 13
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167830 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 105 to 115. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 10 to 20 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 103 to 113. South wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 73 to
83. Highs 96 to 106.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 82. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
* Mixing Height............15760 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the
northwest 16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (252160 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............15992 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the
northwest 15 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (239880 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 67 to
77. Highs 95 to 105. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to
30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 65 to
75. Highs 89 to 99.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
64 to 74. Highs 87 to 97.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............14279 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the west
16 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (228464 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 20 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............14567 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (189371 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 12 to 21 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 13 to 22 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 66 to
76. Highs 91 to 101.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 20 mph becoming west
around 10 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13727 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 knots shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (219632 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly
clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............13 to 21 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11095 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 8 knots shifting to the northwest
12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (133140 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 70. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to
27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
82 to 92.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 59 to
69. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-091415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
246 PM MST Mon Jul 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 20 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............6 or high.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............15924 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 9 knots shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (222936 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly
clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............16778 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 8 knots shifting to the north 14
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (234892 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to
73. Highs 84 to 94. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
63 to 73. Highs 83 to 93. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and slight chance of showers. Lows
62 to 72. Highs 80 to 90.
.MONDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to
70. Highs 77 to 87.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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