778
FXUS64 KSJT 161115
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
615 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Hot and dry conditions will continue as the upper-level ridge
remains steadfast across West Central Texas and begins to
strengthen. Afternoon high temperatures today will range from the
upper 90s to 105 with the warmest temperatures across the Big
Country and parts of the Concho Valley. A Heat Advisory remains in
place for today through this evening for the Big Country, with
heat indices across parts of the area reaching 105 to 107
degrees. Expect warm overnight low temperatures again tonight,
ranging in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Given the above normal
temperatures and drier conditions, there is some concern for fire
weather. However, with slightly lighter winds today and RH values
remaining above 20 percent across much of the area, we leaned
against issuing an RFD for today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Expect hot and dry conditions through much of the long term as a
strong upper level ridge centers over the Southern Plains. Expect
some heat related impacts and Heat Advisories will likely be needed
for mainly the Big Country, Concho Valley and Heartland as highs
will be 105 to 110. Highs across the remainder of the area will
be in the upper 90s to around 103. Please follow heat safety rules
if you have to be outside. Slightly cooler temperatures are
possible by late next week with highs staying below 105. Going
with a dry forecast through the long term.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

VFR conditions are expected across all terminals through the next
24 hours. Generally southerly winds will continue through
tonight, becoming breezy later this morning through this afternoon
with some gusts up to 20 knots over KABI, KSJT, and KBBD. Winds
will diminish again this evening and into the overnight period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene    103  79 105  78 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo 103  77 103  75 /  10   0   0   0
Junction    99  73 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  101  76 103  74 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater 104  79 105  78 /  10   0   0   0
Ozona       97  73  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       99  76 100  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for Callahan-Fisher-
Haskell-Jones-Nolan-Shackelford-Taylor-Throckmorton.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...TP