273
FXUS64 KSHV 151949
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
249 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Hazardous heat will continue across the Four State Region through
the next 36 hours with little in the way of relief expected from
any precipitation that may form. This is due to surface ridging
that will linger across the southeast US and the Mississippi River
into Texas, maintaining light southerly winds and dew points in
the low-to-mid 70s. Temperature maximums will remain in the upper
90s while minimums remain in the mid-to-upper 70s, not much of a
reprieve from daytime heat.

Heat hazard products are likely to be issued through the middle of
this week across the area. Adequate precautions and awareness are
encouraged now against the elevated potential for heat illnesses.
This includes (and is not limited to) altering outdoor plans,
taking frequent breaks if you must be outside, checking the
backseat of your vehicle, and knowing the signs and symptoms of
heat exhaustion and heat stroke. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Cooler weather will begin to arrive later this week as a less
common summer cold front makes its way into the area. This is due
to a fairly robust surface ridge that will make its way south
from Canada into the Great Plains/Midwest, allowing somewhat more
active northerly flow aloft (and diffluent flow near the Gulf) to
instigate more convection along the frontal boundary as it
eventually stalls near the Gulf Coast. By this weekend, the
convection will become more diurnally driven, producing 1 to 1.5
inches of rainfall in the next week. Overall, this activity will
keep temperature maximums/minimums in the lower 90s/lower 70s,
slightly (and fortunately) below average for this time of the
year. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Low clouds and patchy fog may develop and move northward into
portions of Deep East Texas eastward into Central Louisiana
between 16/08z-16/15z. This could may bring MVFR flight conditions
to KLFK Tuesday morning. Elsewhere, VFR flight conditions should
prevail for the duration of this TAF period. South or southwest
surface winds will also persist with sustained speeds remaining
below 10 kts.

CN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  78  98  78  99 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  75  97  77  99 /  10   0   0  20
DEQ  74  97  73  95 /   0   0   0  20
TXK  77  98  77  98 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  75  95  75  98 /  10   0   0  20
TYR  76  98  76  97 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  76  97  75  96 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  74  97  74  95 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-059>061-
     070>073.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>073.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>006-010>014-
     017>022.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for OKZ077.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-108>112-
     124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

     Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...09