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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
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180 FXUS63 KSGF 201931 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 231 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Precipitation chances increase from west to east and along the Arkansas State line tonight into Sunday...with periodic chances into the work week. - Unseasonably cool through midweek followed by a slow warming trend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 An upper level trough extending from the Great Lakes to the central plains will remain in place and bring periods of showers and isolated storms to the region through tonight. Models and CAMS do slide a band of showers into the western Ozarks overnight but coverage and rainfall amounts will be limited. Overnight lows will again fall into the 60s. Witt Td`s in the lower 60s, the dew point depressions should become rather small allowing for some uncommon impacts to visibilities in valleys and other low areas. No impacts are anticipated. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 Upper level energy wrapping around the trough over the region Sunday will allow for the development of scattered to isolated showers and occasional storms through the day Sunday and into Sunday night. Many locations may remain dry and those that do get rainfall (20-50%) would likely see no more than 0.25". The best potential looks to be south of Highway 60 and west of Highway 65. The upper level trough is then forecast to remain nearly stationary through the week finally being forced east by Friday. This will bring multiple days of nearly similar weather with isolated to scattered showers and a storm or two each day. No day looks like a washout with limited rain potential each day. Daily temperatures are forecast to be from 5-10 degrees below average for this time of year with highs from around 80 to the middle 80s each day. For the end of the week, upper ridging will move over the region, however the temperatures will be slow to rise as overall surface flow remains weak and warm air advection will be slow in developing. This will allow the mild temperatures for July to linger into next weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2024 A few low to middle level clouds were developing across the region with VFR flight conditions expected through this evening. Showers in eastern Kansas associated with a subtle upper level feature will move towards the Ozarks region overnight and bring low end chances for showers or an isolated storm to move over the regions terminals. The main impacts from the system overnight will be developing middle to high ceilings across the region. Increasing near surface moisture will also allow for limited impacts to visibilities with 6sm forecast for the KJLN and KBBG terminals overnight into Sunday morning. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hatch LONG TERM...Hatch AVIATION...Hatch