Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 121134
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Spot Forecast for Monument Rx...usfs
National Weather Service Riverton WY
534 AM MDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on July 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Today will be hot and dry as high pressure remains over the area.
There will likely be some cumulus buildup by mid-afternoon. This
could result in some virga showers in the vicinity of the unit.
The concern with any of this activity will be isolated wind gusts
of 45 to 55 mph. Otherwise, expect wind gusts to remain under 20
mph. Similarly hot and dry conditions are expected through the
weekend.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 0900. Winds northwest 7 to 12
                    mph with gusts to around 17 mph after 1100.
Ridgetop wind.......Favoring north 5 to 10 mph before 1100 then
becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 14000 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph until 1100, then 18 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent by 1200.
Haines Index........6.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   0   0   5   5   5   5   10  5   15  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  58  62  68  71  76  78  80  81  81  82  81
RH..............43  42  37  34  31  27  22  20  17  17  17  16
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   2   3   2   3   7   9   9   10  10  11  12
20 FT wind gust.4       4       4   10  13  13  14  14  16  17
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  5   10  5   10  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 3.5 7.0 8.5 11  12  14  14  14
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   8   13  18  22  24  24  23  26  26
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10002   1   1   8   38  111 165 224 254 273 319 316

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 11 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph until 2000, then light downslope/downvalley.
Ridgetop wind.......West 15 to 20 mph until midnight, then west
5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL decreasing to around 100 ft AGL
after 2100.
Transport winds.....West 22 to 26 mph until 2000, then 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor around 2000.
Haines Index........6.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   15  15  5   20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  81  78  74  70  68  66  64  61  61  60  58
RH..............16  16  19  22  24  25  25  28  30  31  32  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..11  8   6   6   6   5   4   2   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.16  12  10  10  10  6   5       4
Ridge wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S
Ridge wind spd..20  15  15  15  15  10  10  5   10  5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...13  7.5 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.26  22  13  13  13  10  9   7   8   7   7   7
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/1000287 141 11  3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1200, then west 7 to 12 mph
                    with gusts to around 17 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1000, then west 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11000 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....Light becoming west around 20 mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent by 1200.
Haines Index........6.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  20  5   20  15  40  45  45  45  50  50  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  59  63  67  71  74  77  78  80  81  80  79
RH..............33  35  33  32  31  27  23  21  19  17  18  19
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SE  E   E   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   4   3   7   7   11  12  11  9
20 FT wind gust.            4   6   4   10  10  16  17  16  13
Ridge wind dir..SE  S   SE  E   E   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  20  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.5 6.0 9.5 10  11  11  9.0 7.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   9   14  20  21  22  23  21  20
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   1   5   21  72  159 177 196 216 164 127

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...Myers
Requested by...Daniel Chappell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417850.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.chappell@usda.gov