125
FNUS76 KPDT 142259
FWSPDT

Spot Forecast for Red Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
359 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 15.
***Thunderstorms imply gusty and erratic winds***
***Winds are 20 foot 10-minute averages***
***CWR-Chance of wetting rain 0.10 or greater***

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast, please
contact our office at (541) 276-8134.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
PDT THURSDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...Nocturnal showers and embedded thunderstorms are
forecast for the burn site tonight (Wednesday night) into early
Thursday morning. Most likely timing will be 9PM PDT this evening
until 2AM PDT Thursday morning. Another round of afternoon convection
is forecast, but the most robust thunderstorms are expected east of the
Cascade crest Thursday afternoon. Quiet weather returns Friday with
the return of shower and thunderstorm chances for Saturday. Uncertainty
in forecast details grow by Sunday, but confidence is very high (95-100%)
that an upper-level closed low will linger in the vicinity of the PacNW
through the weekend and into early next week.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................33 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....57-60.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 5-8 mph, gusting to 15 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2800-3300 ft AGL by afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....40-43.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 5-8 mph, gusting to 15 mph in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to near surface overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....63-66.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Drainage winds 1-3 mph early morning, becoming
                    west 4-6 mph by the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Variable 1-3 mph early morning, becoming
                    west 4-6 mph by the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 6000-6500 ft AGL by afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$
Forecaster...Plunkett
Requested by...Steve Hammond
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2419984.2/PDT
.DELDT 08/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2024.red.plans@firenet.gov