845
FXUS62 KMLB 190531
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
131 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 123 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024

VFR conditions prevailing outside of convection. A few showers
possible along the Treasure Coast overnight, though confidence is
too low to include VCSH at this time. Scattered showers and
storms are forecast once again this afternoon, beginning along the
Space and Treasure Coasts by around 18Z. Then, convection is
forecast to spread inland and northward through the afternoon (by
around 20Z), with TEMPOs included for brief CIG/VIS reductions.
Any convection is forecast to diminish in the evening hours,
clearing by 23-1Z. Southerly winds will become southeasterly
behind the sea breeze, remaining around 10kts or less.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Lightning storms are gradually winding down this evening but not
before producing 1 to 2 inches of rain across portions of Indian
River, Okeechobee, and Lake counties earlier today. Sky conditions
are forecast to gradually clear overnight as temperatures fall
into the mid 70s (upper 70s along the coast). The previous
forecast remains on track, keeping conditions dry overnight with
light SSE flow persisting.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 145 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

Through Monday...Low-level ridging continues across the local
waters, lifting northward slowly over the weekend and early next
week as it is undercut by a surge of moisture ahead of an
approaching weak tropical wave/inverted trough. Still generally
favorable boating conditions. Wind direction generally S/SW at
night/morning, backing SERLY each day with sea breeze formation
thru at least Fri, then staying more uniformly S/SE for the rest
of the extended. Wind speeds AOB 15 kts thru the period. Seas
mainly 2-3 ft, occasionally 4 ft offshore; and locally higher
invof lightning storms. ISOLD to SCT showers/storms will continue
to favor the evening and overnight-early morning hour periods. A
greater chance for shower and storm development during the daytime
hours will occur from Sat through Mon. Any storms that develop
may be capable of producing cloud-to-water lightning strikes,
gusty winds, and heavy downpours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  94  76  93  76 /  60  30  60  30
MCO  95  77  95  76 /  60  30  60  30
MLB  91  77  91  77 /  50  20  60  20
VRB  92  77  93  76 /  50  20  60  20
LEE  94  77  94  77 /  60  40  60  30
SFB  95  77  95  76 /  60  30  60  30
ORL  95  77  95  77 /  60  40  60  30
FPR  91  76  92  76 /  50  20  60  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
AVIATION...Leahy