756
FXUS62 KMLB 301755
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
155 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 155 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

The east coast sea breeze has moved inland of the coastal terminals.
Low confidence in lightning at the coastal terminals, and have kept
mention of VCSH late this afternoon. VCTS continues through the
afternoon and evening at the interior terminals with TSRA TEMPOs for
reduced VIS/CIGs in convection. VCSH lingering across the interior
terminals through the evening until around 03Z. Easterly winds
around 7-9 kts become light and variable overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1020 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Mid level disturbance near Grand Bahama Island early this morning
will continue to move toward the SW today across S FL then the
Straits of FL tonight. This feature brought scattered showers and
lightning storms to portions of the Treasure coast and adjacent
Atlc waters this morning. Morning Cape sounding shows a deep N to
NE flow through the column along with deep moisture with precip
water of 2.29". The east coast sea breeze will develop by early
afternoon and push inland, sparking scattered to numerous showers
and lightning storms. The focus for storms will shift from just
inland from the coast to the interior. So have lowered PoPs along
the Volusia coast. Localized flooding resulting from a quick 1 to
3 inches of rain will be possible esp in urban locations and where
recent heavy rains have fallen. Frequent lightning strikes will
also be a threat. A reminder that lightning can occur well away
from a parent storm where it is not yet raining or has stopped
raining. If thunder is heard, seek shelter in an enclosed
building or hard-topped automobile. Picnic shelters, dugouts and
screen porches offer no protection from the dangers of lightning.

The debris clouds from previous convection across the south will
gradually thin allowing max temps to warm into the upper 80s/near
90 while widespread lower 90s will occur across northern interior
sections. Peak heat indices near 105.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 222 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Today-Thursday... A ridge of high pressure will remain just north of
the local Atlantic waters, with predominant southeast breezes from 5-
12 KT each day. Winds will turn offshore around 5 KT near the coast
in the overnight hours. Seas generally 2 FT or less through Tuesday,
then 2-3 FT on Wednesday & Thursday. Scattered showers and isolated
lightning storms are possible each day, though there will be a lot
of dry time. Offshore-moving storms appear unlikely. Intracoastal
and inshore boaters will find a light to moderate chop each
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  93  77  91 /  20  40  20  50
MCO  74  92  76  92 /  30  50  20  70
MLB  75  92  77  91 /  20  50  20  50
VRB  74  92  76  91 /  20  50  20  60
LEE  76  93  77  93 /  50  60  30  70
SFB  75  94  77  93 /  30  50  20  60
ORL  76  93  77  93 /  30  50  20  60
FPR  74  91  76  91 /  20  60  20  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Law