914
FXUS62 KMLB 010550
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
150 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 150 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

VFR and a lot of dry time is expected at sites north of the
Treasure Coast today. SSE winds begin to increase after 15z,
increasing to around 10-12 kt at coastal sites 18z-20z. VCTS
begins 17z, lasting as long as 23z from VRB southward, as the east
coast breeze becomes more active with SHRA/TSRA. Brief MVFR conds
are possible here. A lower-confidence forecast for VCTS exists
from LEE to MCO after 20z-23z. Activity everywhere will wane
after 02z-04z Tue.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 929 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Current KMLB radar imagery shows mostly dry weather over east
central Florida with a few light isolated showers/sprinkles over
the local Atlantic, as well as Volusia county. Current
temperatures are in the upper 70s to low 80s with dew points in
the low to upper 70s. Analysis charts show a mid level trough to
the northeast over the eastern CONUS with a mid/upper level ridge
building over the central CONUS. Isolated to scattered showers and
isolated lightning storms are forecast overnight over the local
Atlantic. A slight chances exists for isolated showers and
lightning storms (20%) to move onshore along the Martin county
coast into Monday morning. South to southwest winds are forecast
to become light and variable overnight with mostly clear to partly
cloudy skies. Overnight low temperatures are forecast to drop
into the low to upper 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 239 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

A ridge of high pressure will remain just north of the local
Atlantic waters, with predominant south to southeast breezes
increasing 10-12 KT each day behind the sea breeze. Winds will
turn offshore around 5 KT near the coast in the overnight hours.
Seas generally 2 FT or less through Tuesday, then 2-3 FT on
Wednesday & Thursday. Scattered showers and isolated lightning
storms are possible each day, though there will be a lot of dry
time. Offshore-moving storms appear unlikely. Intracoastal and
inshore boaters will find a light to moderate chop each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  94  77  92  77 /  40  40  40  20
MCO  93  77  93  77 /  50  50  70  20
MLB  91  77  91  78 /  40  30  50  20
VRB  91  75  91  77 /  40  30  50  20
LEE  94  78  94  79 /  60  50  70  20
SFB  94  77  94  77 /  50  50  60  20
ORL  94  77  93  78 /  50  50  70  20
FPR  91  75  91  76 /  50  30  50  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Fehling
AVIATION...Schaper