Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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186
FNUS54 KMEG 102031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and humid conditions will continue through late next week.
Wetting rainfall will remain limited to scattered mainly daytime
showers and thunderstorms. Outside of thunderstorm outflow,
surface winds will remain very light.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-110900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            30
Precip Chance (%)                  20           10           30
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)              1                         1
Precip Begin                       1 PM                      1 PM
Precip End                         6 PM                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      72 (+1)      93 (+2)      72           93
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     55 (+1)      99           55
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  4         SW  7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3900                      4100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4100                      4400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  6                     SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7800                      9100
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        88
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  6                     SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 12                     SW 14
Dispersion Index      9            34           12           44
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-110900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            20
Precip Chance (%)     10           20           10           20
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)              1                         1
Precip Begin                       1 PM                      1 PM
Precip End                         6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      73 (0)       93 (+2)      72           93
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      56 (-2)      100          55
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  4        Lgt/Var      SW  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3700                      4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3900                      4500
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  6                      SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 13                      SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7200                      8400
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 12                     SW 14
Dispersion Index      10           34           11           38
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-110900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           40
Precip Chance (%)     10           20           20           40
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            1            2
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      69 (-2)      92 (+2)      71           94
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     58 (+1)      100          60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3700                      3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4100                      3500
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  4                     SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5200                      6600
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 11                     W 15
Dispersion Index      8            26           11           31
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-110900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            40
Precip Chance (%)     10           30           10           40
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs)              1                         2
Precip Begin                       1 PM                      6 AM
Precip End                         6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      71 (0)       92 (+2)      71           93
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     58 (0)       100          58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3600                      3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4000                      4300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6000                      7800
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 11                     SW 14
Dispersion Index      8            26           10           32
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-110900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            40           0            20
Precip Chance (%)     20           40           10           30
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)              1                         2
Precip Begin                       1 PM                      7 AM
Precip End                         6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-2)      92 (+2)      72           93
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     59 (-2)      99           58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  4        Lgt/Var      SW  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3700                      3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1200                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4000                      4100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  4                      SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  9                      SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4800                      6500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 10                     SW 12
Dispersion Index      10           25           11           31
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-110900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            40           0            50
Precip Chance (%)     20           40           10           50
Precip Type           None         Tstms        None         Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs)              1                         2
Precip Begin                       12 PM                     7 AM
Precip End                         6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-3)      91 (+2)      71           92
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     58 (-1)      100          57
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4100                      3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1400                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4500                      4200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  3                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      6500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              84                        86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  4                     SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW  9                     SW 11
Dispersion Index      7            20           7            28
Stability Class       F            A            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds around
5 mph.

$$