Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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264 ACUS11 KWNS 032132 SWOMCD SPC MCD 032132 IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-032300- Mesoscale Discussion 1524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0432 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024 Areas affected...parts of NE...far northeast CO...far southeast SD Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501... Valid 032132Z - 032300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 501 continues. SUMMARY...A mixed severe hail/wind threat may transition to a predominant strong to severe wind threat as storms further congeal from far northeast Colorado into north-central Nebraska. A downstream watch issuance may be needed as storms approach the east edge of WW 501. DISCUSSION...Initial supercells that produced large hail have largely congealed, especially with southwest extent across parts of north-central to southwest NE. The northern portion of this activity, embedded within slightly stronger mid-level flow will probably exit WW 501 first across parts of northeast NE into far southeast SD. While this activity will progressively move away from the peak buoyancy plume centered on the CO/KS border area, presence of a quasi-stationary front may aid in sustaining strong to isolated severe storms. Farther southwest, severe wind gust potential may increase as clusters further consolidate near the CO/KS/NE border area. These will probably merge with an agitated cu field over southwest NE and yield an increasing wind threat later into south-central NE. ..Grams/Hart.. 07/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 42859971 43059857 42959699 42649647 42289640 40979848 40529969 40410212 40670295 41350246 42859971