929
FXUS64 KLZK 102356 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
656 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

NW flow aloft will bring cooler temperatures through the weekend.
By this evening...a round of light rain showers will be possible
across northwestern locations as rain begins to taper off as it
moves into the state. An additional round will be possible Sunday
afternoon and evening bringing a better chance of rain across
northern and possibly central locations. Widespread heavy rain is
not expected at this time.

As mentioned above, high temperatures are expected to feel
comfortable through the rest of this weekend with values in the
upper 70s across the north to lower 90s across the south.
Dewpoints are expected to be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 50s
to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

The heat will return in the long term. A warm front will head
through Arkansas from the Gulf Coast to begin the period, and then a
ridge of high pressure will take over from there.

Under the ridge, largely above average temperatures are in the
forecast. This will especially be the case in central and southern
sections of the state where the ridge is most dominant. This is also
where heat headlines will likely be necessary at some point as
triple digit afternoon heat indices become common.

Farther north/east toward the periphery of the ridge, isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible at times, and
it will not be quite so hot. Even so, rainfall will not exactly be
appreciable, with amounts generally below average.

Toward the end of the period, a shortwave will approach from the
Plains. An associated cold front will try to push into the region
from the northwest, and could bring some relief next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024

BKN mid-lvl cloud cover remains in place acrs much of the Nrn
portion of the FA, and cont`s to stream in fm the west. Expect
mid-lvl cloud cover to expand in covg to much of the state
overnight and into Sun. Vcty precip should move into the N/Wrn
portion of the FA, mainly impacting HRO, and possibly BPK, through
the mrng to aftn hrs on Sun. MVFR CIGs may accompany precip
activity, but lower category condns should stay confined to far
N/Wrn AR tmrw. Otherwise, VFR condns and Srly to S/Erly winds
should persist thru much of the PD.

/72/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     65  81  66  82 /  10  10  20  40
Camden AR         67  89  69  94 /  10  10   0  10
Harrison AR       64  76  64  85 /  10  40  50  60
Hot Springs AR    69  86  69  93 /  10  30   0  20
Little Rock   AR  69  84  71  90 /  10  20   0  20
Monticello AR     67  89  70  93 /   0  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      67  85  67  92 /  10  40  10  20
Mountain Home AR  64  77  65  82 /  10  30  60  60
Newport AR        65  83  67  84 /  10  10  10  30
Pine Bluff AR     66  86  68  92 /  10  10   0  10
Russellville AR   68  80  67  89 /  10  40  20  30
Searcy AR         65  83  67  87 /  10  20  10  30
Stuttgart AR      67  84  69  89 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....46
AVIATION...72