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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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929 FXUS64 KLZK 102356 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 656 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024 NW flow aloft will bring cooler temperatures through the weekend. By this evening...a round of light rain showers will be possible across northwestern locations as rain begins to taper off as it moves into the state. An additional round will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening bringing a better chance of rain across northern and possibly central locations. Widespread heavy rain is not expected at this time. As mentioned above, high temperatures are expected to feel comfortable through the rest of this weekend with values in the upper 70s across the north to lower 90s across the south. Dewpoints are expected to be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 50s to upper 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 153 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024 The heat will return in the long term. A warm front will head through Arkansas from the Gulf Coast to begin the period, and then a ridge of high pressure will take over from there. Under the ridge, largely above average temperatures are in the forecast. This will especially be the case in central and southern sections of the state where the ridge is most dominant. This is also where heat headlines will likely be necessary at some point as triple digit afternoon heat indices become common. Farther north/east toward the periphery of the ridge, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible at times, and it will not be quite so hot. Even so, rainfall will not exactly be appreciable, with amounts generally below average. Toward the end of the period, a shortwave will approach from the Plains. An associated cold front will try to push into the region from the northwest, and could bring some relief next weekend. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT Sat Aug 10 2024 BKN mid-lvl cloud cover remains in place acrs much of the Nrn portion of the FA, and cont`s to stream in fm the west. Expect mid-lvl cloud cover to expand in covg to much of the state overnight and into Sun. Vcty precip should move into the N/Wrn portion of the FA, mainly impacting HRO, and possibly BPK, through the mrng to aftn hrs on Sun. MVFR CIGs may accompany precip activity, but lower category condns should stay confined to far N/Wrn AR tmrw. Otherwise, VFR condns and Srly to S/Erly winds should persist thru much of the PD. /72/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 65 81 66 82 / 10 10 20 40 Camden AR 67 89 69 94 / 10 10 0 10 Harrison AR 64 76 64 85 / 10 40 50 60 Hot Springs AR 69 86 69 93 / 10 30 0 20 Little Rock AR 69 84 71 90 / 10 20 0 20 Monticello AR 67 89 70 93 / 0 10 0 0 Mount Ida AR 67 85 67 92 / 10 40 10 20 Mountain Home AR 64 77 65 82 / 10 30 60 60 Newport AR 65 83 67 84 / 10 10 10 30 Pine Bluff AR 66 86 68 92 / 10 10 0 10 Russellville AR 68 80 67 89 / 10 40 20 30 Searcy AR 65 83 67 87 / 10 20 10 30 Stuttgart AR 67 84 69 89 / 10 10 0 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...73 LONG TERM....46 AVIATION...72