Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

ECC029-081045-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

While the long heat wave continues, the ridge axis has finally moved
east of our area and there have been some improvements to fire
weather conditions. A deepening marine layer with more steady
onshore winds and slightly lower temperatures  have caused all Red
Flag Warnings to expire as scheduled last  night. Conditions will
continue to gradually improve through  Tuesday. While the critical
fire weather has ended, fuel ERCs are still near/exceeding the max
moving average and between the 97th and 99th percentile.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$

ECC028-081045-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$

ECC031-081045-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$

ECC024-081045-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$

ECC032-081045-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$

ECC030-081045-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
940 AM PDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FOR THE INTERSTATE
5 CORRIDOR AND  WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH LARGE PLUME POTENTIAL ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

Long lasting and extremely hot conditions Will continue through much
of this week across the interior. For today, very hot temperatures
and low humidities will continue across the interior valleys,
mountains, and deserts with highs between 100 and  115 degrees and
minimum humidities between 5 and 15 percent (hottest and driest in
the Antelope Valley. Onshore flow will strengthen considerably today
into tonight, causing stronger and  more widespread onshore winds
across the interior, with gusts between 25 and 40 mph common, except
isolated gusts to 45 mph in the Antelope Valley foothills this
afternoon and evening. These strengthening onshore winds combined
with the lingering hot and  dry air mass will make fire weather
conditions more dangerous today across the interior  where
widespread elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions exist.
The longest duration of gusty winds overlapping with low humidities
and hot temperatures will be the Interstate 5 corridor and western
Antelope Valley foothills, where a Red Flag Warning remains in
effect through tonight. In addition, the hot and unstable conditions
will make conditions favorable for large vertical plume growth with
any new or existing fires (Lake Fire), as projected mixing heights
between 10,000 and 18,000 feet will be  common. Conditions remain
favorable for large fire growth and extreme fire behavior across the
interior, especially in the Red Flag Warning area. For the coasts
and coastal valleys, the strengthening onshore flow and marine layer
influence will continue to bring a cooling trend with higher
humidities today.

Very hot conditions will change little over the mountains, interior
valleys, and deserts through most if not all of this week, resulting
in a continuation of elevated to brief critical fire weather
conditions. As the marine layer becomes more shallow Tuesday through
Thursday, there is the potential for a warming and drying trend for
the coasts and valleys. In addition, there is the potential for some
gusty sundowner winds with lower humidities across portions of
southern Santa Barbara county during the late afternoon through
nighttime hours from Tuesday through Thursday. This is one of the
longest and most extreme heat waves on record for interior areas.
For the foreseeable future, there will be a higher risk for large
fires and plume dominated fires across the interior. There is a high
risk for heat related illness as well.



$$