001
FXUS63 KIWX 200514
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
114 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Dry conditions are expected through early Monday afternoon.
 High temperatures will be in the 70s and low to mid 80s
 through the week. Lows will be in the 50s and 60s.

-A return to more active weather begins Monday afternoon and
 continues into Friday. The best chances for showers and
 thunderstorms will be Tuesday into Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 PM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024

Pleasant weather today through this weekend as high pressure
controls the conditions. Things should stay dry with highs in the
upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s today
through Sunday. With the clear skies tonight, light winds and
cool overnight lows, decent evapotranspiration from crop cover,
and dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s, patchy ground fog can
again be expected Saturday morning. Cloud cover will then become
more abundant Saturday night persisting into Sunday. There is a
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms on Monday, mainly
south of US 30 of about 20 percent, and increasing into Tuesday
and Wednesday as a low pressure system makes its way south into
Michigan. Wednesday has the best chance for storms due to warm
air and moisture advection coming up from the southwest. Wind
shear is only around 25 kts, so severe weather is not
anticipated at this time.

Models diverge on the track of the low Thursday, which will
determine whether or not the local area continues to see
convective activity, so have kept the chance PoPs from the NBM.
Both the GFS and Canadian have high pressure moving over the
area on Friday, which correlates with the slight chance to low
chance in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 112 AM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

VFR conditions expected through this TAF period with high
pressure in place over the region.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Cobb
AVIATION...Andersen