Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
193 FNUS52 KILM 060733 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 333 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 .DISCUSSION... Very hot weather continues for Saturday. Showers and storms are expected late this afternoon into this evening, with highest coverage expected inland, the coast remaining mostly dry. The next several days will be not quite as hot and may offer up good coverage of diurnal storms, especially inland. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-062345- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 333 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 3 2 2 Max/Min Temp 95 73 91 Min/Max RH (%) 52 99 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 7 G17 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G18 S 4 S 6 Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 1 PM 12 PM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0800 2100 79/0800 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 15 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 52800 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 32 Fair ADI Late 63 Good 8 Poor 39 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 4 7 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-062345- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 333 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 40 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 Max/Min Temp 99 74 92 Min/Max RH (%) 44 99 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.14 0.17 0.05 Precip Duration 1 2 1 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2100 78/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 39600 ADI Early 54 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 30 Fair ADI Late 88 Good 8 Poor 39 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 5 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-062345- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 333 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 10 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 2 Max/Min Temp 96 73 91 Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 G17 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G19 Lgt/Var SE 7 Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.01 Precip Duration 0 0 1 Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 12 PM Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0800 2100 79/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 4400 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78000 52800 ADI Early 45 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 62 Good 7 Poor 43 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-062345- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 333 AM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 50 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 Max/Min Temp 98 73 92 Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.25 0.45 0.06 Precip Duration 1 2 1 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 6 AM Precip End Continuing 5 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2100 80/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 4900 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96200 44100 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 28 Fair ADI Late 90 Good 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...LEW