Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
508 FNUS52 KILM 071913 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 313 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .DISCUSSION... A stalled front well northwest of the area will keep greater shower and storm coverage just outside our area during the next few afternoons with the potential for clusters to affect areas near and west of I-95 during the late afternoon and evening. Greater shower and storm coverage seems more likely across the area late in the week as another cold front pushes closer to the area. Temps will remain slightly above normal through the work week with dewpoints remaining near to a bit above normnal. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-081115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 313 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 40 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 92 74 93 Max/Min RH (%) 98 55 96 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.04 Precip Duration 1 2 0 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0800 2000 80/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4500 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 63000 ADI Early 38 Fair 36 Fair 45 Gen Good 40 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good Max LVORI Early 4 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-081115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 313 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 93 74 94 Max/Min RH (%) 98 52 99 55 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.04 0.09 0.03 0.10 Precip Duration 1 1 0 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 11 PM Continuing 8 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2100 81/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5200 Transport Wind (mph) S 8 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40800 62400 ADI Early 43 Gen Good 37 Fair 47 Gen Good 41 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 7 Max LVORI Late 7 1 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light winds. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-081115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 313 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 40 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 92 75 92 Max/Min RH (%) 97 56 97 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.03 0.08 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 82/0900 2100 81/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4700 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43000 61100 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 34 Fair 41 Gen Good 36 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-081115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 313 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 50 40 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 92 74 93 Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 99 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.06 0.19 0.11 0.08 Precip Duration 1 1 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 6 AM Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 81/0900 2000 81/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4900 Transport Wind (mph) S 7 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 49000 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 31 Fair 29 Fair 34 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 44 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 7 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light winds. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Weiner