Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
666 FNUS52 KILM 180719 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 319 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and humid conditions will continue today. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will start to increase ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will linger in the area through the weekend and into the start of next week. Rain chances will remain elevated through Monday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-182330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 319 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 70 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 5 5 Max/Min Temp 93 71 89 Min/Max RH (%) 62 99 69 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 SW 7 G21 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G23 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.16 0.97 0.28 Precip Duration 1 6 6 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 79/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94500 54600 ADI Early 66 Good 50 Gen Good 40 Fair ADI Late 73 Good 9 Poor 47 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 5 8 Max LVORI Late 2 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-182330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 319 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 70 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 5 Max/Min Temp 94 72 89 Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.30 1.05 0.20 Precip Duration 1 6 6 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0700 2100 77/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 4400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102600 39600 ADI Early 58 Gen Good 37 Fair 28 Fair ADI Late 94 Good 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-182330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 319 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 70 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 5 Max/Min Temp 94 72 91 Min/Max RH (%) 58 99 66 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 G20 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G21 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.13 0.78 0.26 Precip Duration 1 7 6 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2100 79/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 67200 ADI Early 68 Good 46 Gen Good 41 Gen Good ADI Late 85 Good 8 Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-182330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 319 AM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 60 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 5 Max/Min Temp 95 72 91 Min/Max RH (%) 55 99 65 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.16 0.83 0.21 Precip Duration 1 5 6 Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0700 2100 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 4900 Transport Wind (mph) W 18 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106200 58800 ADI Early 68 Good 46 Gen Good 29 Fair ADI Late 112 Very Good5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$