Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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529 FXUS64 KHGX 030854 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 354 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, TROPICAL... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday Night) Issued at 354 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Weather remains pretty status quo for the next couple of days. We will continue to observe hot and humid conditions as the ridge of high pressure and 850mb temperatures continue to hold steady. Heat index values will continue to be in the 105-109F range today, and while the Heat Advisory has less coverage than what has been observed the last few days, it goes without saying that it is going to continue to be uncomfortably hot. Have gone ahead and issued a Heat Advisory and expanded it across the entirety of inland SE Texas for Independence Day. Temperatures for the holiday will be pretty similar to today`s, maybe a touch warmer. Grill masters, firework enthusiasts, and well...anyone who chooses to be outdoors and not near any source of cooling tomorrow, please be mindful of the heat and take care of yourself! Stay hydrated, take breaks, and wear lightweight clothing! Remember to look before you lock. If you have pets, be mindful of their paws...if it`s too hot for your palm, it is too hot for their paws. Lows for tonight and Thursday night will be warm with temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. In addition to the heat, there remains a slight chance for typical summertime showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours today and Thursday. Adams && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 354 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Hot early July temperatures (both daytime highs and overnight lows) will continue across a majority of the area on Friday, and another Heat Advisory will probably be needed. Some relief could come in the afternoon from possible showers and/or thunderstorms, but a majority of the area should stay hot and dry. Rising rain chances are in the forecast beginning Friday night (pooling moisture levels leading to better chances the further north you go and much lower the further south you go) and continuing over the weekend (especially on Sunday as increasing moisture associated with Beryl begins to enter parts of the area from the Gulf). Beryl`s track and intensity becomes a major player in the forecast for the end of the weekend and the start of next week, and this could lead to significant changes in area rain chances. Make sure you keep up with the latest Beryl forecasts from the National Hurricane Center. 42 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1159 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024 Light and variable winds overnight and this morning will pick up from the south to southeast by this afternoon. Cannot rule out isolated to scattered shra/tsra associated with the sea breeze boundary this afternoon. However, confidence in shra/tsra coverage is too low to warrant mention in the TAFs. Generally VFR cigs/vis should prevail, though a localized spot or two of MVFR cigs cannot be ruled out in the morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 354 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 A mainly light to occasionally moderate onshore flow is expected through the remainder of the week. Look for increasing winds, seas and rain chances over the weekend as Beryl makes its way toward the western Gulf of Mexico. Mariners should keep updated with the latest on Beryl from the National Hurricane Center as any significant changes in the track and/or intensity forecast could lead to significant changes in our area wind/wave forecast. 42 && .TROPICAL... Issued at 354 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Hurricane Beryl continues to work its way westward across the Caribbean Sea. The official National Hurricane Center forecast has Beryl crossing the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday and Friday night and then working its way toward a landfall just south of the Texas/Mexico border on Sunday evening/night. Keep updated with the latest National Hurricane Center advisories on Beryl as any significant changes in the track and/or intensity forecast could lead to significant changes in our area forecast. 42 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 98 77 99 77 / 10 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 96 80 97 79 / 40 0 20 0 Galveston (GLS) 92 83 91 83 / 20 10 20 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ163-164-176>179-196-198>200-212-213. Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Thursday for TXZ163-164- 176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335-338. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Adams LONG TERM....42 AVIATION...Self MARINE...42