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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
606 FNUS75 KGJT 111715 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Toner Creek...Roaring Fork Fire Rescue Authority National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 1115 AM MDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 MDT on August 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Heavy monsoonal activity will support numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Storms will flourish by mid to late afternoon with gusty outflow winds, frequent lightning and periods of heavy rain possible. A more organized line of storms is projected to develop south of the spot late this evening, however, strong outflow winds may still impact the fire`s behavior. There may be a brief lull in showers late tonight/early Monday morning, until convection redevelops tomorrow afternoon. The increase in storm coverage tomorrow returns the same threats as expected today. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms. CWR.................30 percent. Max temperature.....76-81. Min humidity........30-40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms this afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................4. Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West 14 mph. Clearing Index......940. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................50 percent. Min temperature.....49-54. Max humidity........80-90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3 to 8 mph shifting to the east overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Fair decreasing to poor (13000 knot-ft) overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................3 until 1900, then 4 until 2300, then 3 until 2400, then 1. Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 1900 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....South 10 mph. Clearing Index......510 decreasing to 130 overnight. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers and numerous thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................40 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. Min humidity........36-41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3 to 8 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Fair. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 5. Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 mph. Clearing Index......510 increasing to 860 in the afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Erin Walter Requested by...Lt. Paul Blangsted Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2420064.0/GJT .DELDT 08/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL pblangsted@roaringforkfire.org