601
FNUS75 KGJT 122306
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Bucktail...Montrose Dispatch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
506 PM MDT Mon Aug 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...There could be several rounds of storms through out
the day tomorrow. Each could bring heavy rainfall and strong winds.
The first half of the day storms will come from the south and then
perhaps west later in the day. Confidence in the wind direction and
speeds is low due to the potential for multiple outflows. The chances
for storms decreases on Wednesday.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................3 until 1000, then 4.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph shifting to the southwest 16 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................50 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
Max humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8000-30000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................4 until 0300, then 3.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 13 mph shifting to the southeast 10 mph
                    overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................2 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 mph shifting to the west 16 mph in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Kris Sanders
Requested by...Ryan Donner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2419424.50/GJT
.DELDT 08/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.oak@usda.gov,comtc@firenet.gov