532
FXUS64 KFWD 092333
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
633 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Rest of this Evening through Wednesday/

A fairly nice and relatively uneventful evening is shaping up
across much of North and Central Texas. Most of the region remains
in the subsidence zone of the decaying remnants of Beryl that has
now pushed off well into the Midwest. Winds will remain light and
variable before eventually obtaining a southerly component as our
large scale flow becomes influenced by a weak mid-level ridge
positioned across the Southeastern CONUS. Overnight lows will
generally range in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

We will quickly be reminded that it is still in fact July in
Texas as afternoon highs reach into the mid to upper 90s into
tomorrow. This will be the return of summer heat across the state,
which will likely stick around through the rest of the week. The
upside is we will remain below Heat Advisory criteria as heat
indices barely touch the triple digits. This will be accompanied
by generally light winds from the south and a few passing cirrus.

Reeves

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 314 PM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024/
/Wednesday Evening Onward/

North and Central Texas will remain between two strong areas of
high pressure, one along the East Coast and another in the west.
With no significant weather systems expected to traverse our
region over the next week, much of our region will experience
temperature right around normal with no widespread rain expected.

Temperatures the rest of this week are expected to stay below the
triple digit mark as heat index values stay below 105. As we head
into the weekend, sufficient low-level southerly flow will
increase moisture content areawide, leading to a a few afternoon
showers and storms across the Brazos Valley and East Texas.
Overall, rain chances will remain below 20%. All storms should
remain below severe limits given a lack of appreciable shear.

Heading into next week, the ridge to our west will begin to shift
eastward into the Central Plains. Across North and Central Texas,
we`ll be on the southern fringes of the high, likely evading the
return of a multi-week heat wave.

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00z TAFs/

Concerns...None at this time.

VFR will prevail across all TAF sites through the period. Winds
will generally be from the south and fairly light, but could be
variable at times. However, no aviation impacts are expected.

Reeves

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    75  97  76  96  76 /   0   5   0   0   0
Waco                73  97  73  96  74 /   0   5   0   0   0
Paris               69  93  71  93  71 /   0   5   0   0   0
Denton              71  98  72  98  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            72  97  73  96  73 /   0   5   0   0   0
Dallas              75  98  76  97  76 /   0   5   0   0   0
Terrell             71  95  71  95  72 /   0   5   0   0   0
Corsicana           73  97  73  97  74 /   0   5   0   0   0
Temple              73  97  71  96  73 /   0   5   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       70  98  71  97  71 /   0   5   0   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$