836
FXUS62 KFFC 140732
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
332 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 331 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

No major weather impacts or forecast concerns expected in the short
term period.

Pattern fairly static during the period with upper ridge centered
near CO/NM and another elongated ridge extending from the northern
Gulf into the central north Atlantic. In between the two features is
a weakness in height field with moisture slowly streaming from the
western Gulf back east into the southern states.

With the increasing moisture, coverage of diurnal convection
expected to increase. Coverage of SHRA/TSRA should remain < 20%
today but increase to 30-40% Monday and even higher much of next
week. Unfortunately, temps will remain well above normal with max
temps 96-100F over the entire CWA today and Monday. Dewpoints mainly
low to mid 60s this afternoon with some mixing of drier air aloft
but a bit higher Monday. Could approach or exceed Heat Advisory
criteria on Monday, esp over middle Georgia.

SNELSON

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 331 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

At a glance:

-A few more days of hot weather.

-Showers and thunderstorms will return on Wednesday and continue
through the week.

Heat indices could exceed 105 in parts of eastern Georgia on Tuesday
afternoon across eastern Georgia. Overnight lows will be in the mid
to upper 70s keeping things feeling toasty.

A trough in what is otherwise weak zonal flow will enter the south
east and stall out over the gulf coast. Showers in thunderstorms
will be possible for the southern portion of the CWA on Tuesday
afternoon, and remain the lifting mechanism for afternoon storms for
the rest of the forecast period; slowly expanding it`s effects to
the rest of the CWA.

Drought conditions may get some relief as we head into this rainy
period. Precipitable waters will range from the 2 to 2.5 inch range
Wed through Fri so depending on where the strongest bands set up, we
could see some significant rain totals. 7 day QPF totals are in the
1 to 2 inch range and would not be surprised to see some isolated
higher totals especially across central GA. Widespread severe
weather is not expected, but a few afternoon storms could be strong
with gusty winds, periods of heavy rain, and frequent lightning.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 110 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

VFR conditions expected through the forecast with some after
cumulus around 6-8kft and isolated SHRA/TSRA with coverage less
than 20% expected, not enough to include in forecast at this
time. Sfc winds W to WNW at 4-7kts after 14Z becoming light and
variable after 01Z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence on SHRA/TSRA coverage approaching threshold to
include in TAF.
High confidence on all other elements.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          98  74  99  74 /  20  10  30  30
Atlanta         97  77  97  75 /  20  20  40  40
Blairsville     91  69  91  69 /  20  20  50  30
Cartersville    98  74  98  73 /  20  10  40  30
Columbus       100  77  99  76 /  20  20  50  40
Gainesville     96  74  97  75 /  20  20  30  30
Macon          100  75  99  75 /  20  20  40  30
Rome            98  73  98  73 /  20  10  40  30
Peachtree City  98  74  97  73 /  20  20  40  30
Vidalia         98  77  99  76 /  20  20  50  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...SNELSON