203
FXUS62 KFFC 120746
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
346 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024


...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 343 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Warm, benign weather is expected through the short term period.
Coastal low pressure area over the South Atlantic Bight, just in the
periphery of the Bermuda ridge, will provide tropical moisture into
the Carolinas and far eastern Georgia this afternoon and into
Saturday. As a result, expect warming trend to continue into the
weekend, with temperatures and dew points increasing by a few
degrees each day. Heat Index values will be in the upper 90s to low
100s, and remain below Heat Advisory criteria through Saturday.
Forecast grids continue to include slight to chance PoPs for east
central Georgia for this afternoon and Saturday, but tight PoP
gradient will restrict chances close to the South Carolina border.

Into the weekend, sunny skies will be marked by building CU field
and widespread CU/stratus spreading in from the east. Winds will be
light and variable.

31

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 343 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

At a glance:

-Afternoon thunderstorms and heat will be the main story through the
long term.

-A weak low pressure will bring a band of showers and thunderstorms
to northern GA on Friday afternoon.

Not a lot of changes to the forecast this time around. Temperatures
will remain largely in the 90s through the forecast period with lows
in the 70s.

The biggest feature through the long term will be a front that moves
in from the NW on Friday afternoon. The associated upper level
trough is relatively flat considering the parent low will move
through the Great Lakes region. As a result, severe weather seem
unlikely but a few thunderstorms will be possible. Rainfall totals
don`t appear like they`ll help ease any of the drought conditions
we`re falling into with totals being less than a tenth.

The front is quick to move out, and doesn`t seem to want to provide
any significant temp relief either. By the time the weekend rolls
around, we`ll be back in the 90s with heat indices in the
triple digits.


Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period. SCT-BKN CU 5-8kft expected
with daytime heating. For KATL, winds this morning will initially
be NE, then shift to the NNW after 16-18Z. For most of the
terminal sites, light (6kt or less) and variable winds have been
indicated in the TAF.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Moderate confidence on wind direction.
High confidence on all other elements.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          96  73  97  73 /   0   0  10   0
Atlanta         95  74  97  76 /   0   0  10   0
Blairsville     89  66  90  67 /  10  10  10   0
Cartersville    96  71  98  72 /  10   0  10   0
Columbus        98  74 100  77 /  10   0  10   0
Gainesville     94  73  96  74 /  10   0  10   0
Macon           98  73  99  75 /  10   0  10   0
Rome            97  71  98  73 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  96  72  98  74 /   0   0  10   0
Vidalia         96  75  98  77 /  20  10  20   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...31