Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
759 FNUS54 KEPZ 181214 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .DISCUSSION... Low fire weather concerns through at least the weekend as thunderstorm chances remain generally area wide. Flash flooding will be the main hazard with gusty outflow winds and hail possible as well. Min RH values stay above critical thresholds with values 20 to 30 percent in the lowlands and 40 to 60 percent in the area mountains. Light east to southeast winds can be expected each day. Ventilation rates will be poor to good each day. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-182100- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers with thunderstorms likely after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....76-81. * Below 7500 ft....86-91. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent. * Below 7500 ft....26-31 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (78700 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....55-59. * Below 7500 ft....61-66. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent. * Below 7500 ft....71-76 percent. * 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................5 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....77-82. * Below 7500 ft....86-91. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....31-36 percent. * Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......90 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (57800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 84 to 89. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 78 to 83. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-182100- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....94-98. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........20-22 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (117400 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the night. * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........63-68 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....93-97. * Min humidity........22-26 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (63700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs near 90. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ112-182100- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....90-95. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........25-30 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (88000 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the night. * Min temperature.....66-70. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........69-74 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....90-95. * Min humidity........24-28 percent. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....South around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (65400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 83 to 88. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 81 to 86. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-182100- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....70-75. * Below 7500 ft....80-85. * 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent. * Below 7500 ft....37-42 percent. * 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (62500 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....50-55. * Below 7500 ft....58-63. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent. * Below 7500 ft....83-88 percent. * 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....72-77. * Below 7500 ft....82-87. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent. * Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (63500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 71 to 76. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 69 to 74. East winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-182100- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....92-96. * 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........25-27 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (110800 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....72-76. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........60-65 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....93-97. * Min humidity........23-27 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (80400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TXZ056-182100- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 614 AM MDT Thu Jul 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....88-93. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........29-34 percent. * 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....East around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (107900 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....67-71. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........70-75 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....89-94. * Min humidity........26-30 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (79100 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 83 to 88. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 77 to 82. East winds around 5 mph. $$