Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
313 FNUS53 KDTX 050738 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 338 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .DISCUSSION...A low pressure system will bring scattered to numerous showers with embedded thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The best coverage is expected around the Tri-Cities and Thumb. There will be a low end chance for pop up showers or a thunderstorm tomorrow. Shower chances within this warm and humid air mass will support minimum RH values around 60 to 70 percent today and tomorrow. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-052115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 338 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 8 am until 2 pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph early in the morning, then becoming south in the late morning and early afternoon becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming south until late afternoon, then becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (547). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Thunderstorms likely until 11 pm. Chance of showers until 2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........94-100 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-72 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3370-3870 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (463). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-052115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 338 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........58-68 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph early in the morning, then becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4720-5220 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (467). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........99 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming west in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming west in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........67-77 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2990-3490 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (436). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-052115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 338 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 8 am, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 pm, then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers after 8 am until 11 am, then chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....80-86. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph until late afternoon, then becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4330-4830 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming south until late afternoon, then becoming southwest around 15 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (524). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........53-63 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4290-4790 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (733). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. $$ AM