Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
829 FNUS53 KDTX 170803 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 403 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance crosses through Lower Michigan today providing scattered showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder or two. High pressure then brings cooler, drier, and less humid conditions to the region tonight and Thursday with relatively weak winds and minimum RH values near 50 percent. Soils remain well saturated given recent rainfalls, precluding heightened fire danger during a period of drier weather. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-172115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 403 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers until 8 am, then chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........51-61 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5960-6460 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (989). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min temperature.....52-58. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-93 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6250-6750 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (644). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-172115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 403 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers until 8 am, then chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........59-69 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (683). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....53-58. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-95 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....68-74. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........51-61 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4750-5250 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (585). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-172115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 403 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....78-82. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........50-60 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 5 mph becoming northwest around 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (978). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min temperature.....54-58. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....70-76. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5350-5850 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (606). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. $$ KGK