139
FXXX01 KWNP 162201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 Jul 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
16/1326Z from Region 3738 (N09W83). There are currently 15 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (17 Jul) and likely to be
moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three
(18 Jul, 19 Jul).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 423 km/s at 16/2013Z. Total IMF reached 17
nT at 16/0526Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
15/2341Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 216 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (17 Jul, 19
Jul) and quiet to active levels on day two (18 Jul). Protons have a
chance of crossing threshold on day one (17 Jul) and have a slight
chance of crossing threshold on days two and three (18 Jul, 19 Jul).