405
FXXX12 KWNP 060031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2024 Jul 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
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#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low with C-class flares observed. The largest event
was a C9.4 flare at 05/1904 UTC from a source just beyond the SW limb.
Region 3733 (N03W55, Dkc/beta) underwent slight decay of the
intermediate spots with some growth noted in the trailer spot area. New
Region 3738 (S08E70, Dao/beta) was numbered in the SE and the remaining
regions were stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low over 06-08 Jul, with a chance for
isolated M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels over 06-08 Jul. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels through 08 Jul.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
A weakly enhanced IMF and waning CME influences were observed this
period. Total field strength ranged 1-12 nT and Bz varied +/-7 nT. Solar
wind speeds were steady at around 350 km/s and the phi was positive.

.Forecast...
An ambient solar wind environment is expected to prevail on 06-07 Jul.
Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are likely to commence on 08 Jul
in response to positive polarity CH HSS influences.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet and unsettled.

.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be mostly quiet over 06-07
Jul. Periods of active conditions are expected on 08 Jul due to the
anticipated onset of positive polarity CH HSS influences.