005
FNUS75 KBOI 162031
FWSBOI

Spot Forecast for Paddock Fire...BLM
National Weather Service Boise ID
231 PM MDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (208)334-9060, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...WARM, DRY, WINDY, AND UNSTABLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...STAYING HOT AND DRY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
...ISOLATED STORMS TO THE EAST MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
Saturday will be the most critical fire weather day: extreme
mixing heights, steep low level lapse rates, and high ventilation
rates support unstable conditions and high Haines near the fire.
At the same time, temps see a sharp rise and RHs drop in suit.
While the zone of the incident does not have RFW criteria met, the
fire weather setup warrants attention. Conditions stay warm and
dry through next week, with the only interruption being a slight
chance of storms, mainly to the east of the incident, on Monday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....84 to 99.
Min humidity........10 to 17 percent.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Wind - 20 foot......South 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Ventilation Index...1725 excellent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....57 to 66.
Max humidity........37 to 52 percent.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Wind - 20 foot......South 4 to 10 mph with gusts to around 16 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Haines Index........6 high.
Ventilation Index...10 poor.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....79 to 94.
Min humidity........13 to 21 percent.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Wind - 20 foot......South 3 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Ventilation Index...325 fair.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....59 to 68.
Max humidity........35 to 50 percent.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Wind - 20 foot......Northeast 3 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Ventilation Index...5 poor.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers.
A slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 10 percent.
Max temperature.....81 to 96.
Min humidity........12 to 19 percent.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1 in the morning increasing to 2 in the
afternoon.
Wind - 20 foot......East 3 to 6 mph in the morning shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Ventilation Index...425 fair.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....56 to 66.
Max humidity........31 to 46 percent.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Wind - 20 foot......Northwest 3 to 6 mph in the evening shifting to
the northeast overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
Ventilation Index...5 poor.

$$
Forecaster...Macfarlane
Requested by...Sierra Sampson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420399.0/BOI
.DELDT 08/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sierra.sampson@usda.gov