394
FONT12 KNHC 072049
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2024

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFMX 280N 910W 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 16   3(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  2   1( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FORT POLK LA   34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LAKE CHARLES   34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAMERON LA     34 14  10(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

JASPER TX      34  3   8(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

KOUNTZE TX     34  5  18(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  7  11(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

GALVESTON TX   34 73  10(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
GALVESTON TX   50 11  16(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
GALVESTON TX   64  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HOUSTON TX     34 44  41(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
HOUSTON TX     50  1  34(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)

AUSTIN TX      34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FREEPORT TX    34 89   3(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
FREEPORT TX    50 57  14(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
FREEPORT TX    64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 16   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 31  15(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 76   7(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
MATAGORDA TX   64 38  11(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

PORT O CONNOR  34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
PORT O CONNOR  50 74   4(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
PORT O CONNOR  64 37   3(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

ROCKPORT TX    34 63   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
ROCKPORT TX    50 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34 22   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 88   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

HARLINGEN TX   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE