Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
610 FNUS53 KAPX 040903 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 ...Warm and muggy today then rain on Friday... .DISCUSSION...A stray sprinkle or shower is possible very early this morning. Otherwise, the day starts mostly sunny, with more clouds by this afternoon. A chance for showers and storms arrives very late today, with rain becoming widespread and potentially heavy on Friday. Light winds early today will give way to afternoon onshore lake breezes. Warm and humid this afternoon, except near the big lakes. Temperatures will be cooler Friday, with an east to southeast breeze. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-042200- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....81-86...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 49-54 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (550). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........90-95 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........69-74 percent. 24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (264). Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.49- 1.08 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042200- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....82-87...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (549). Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........68-73 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (304). Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.23- 1.16 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-042200- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....81-86...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (441). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....72-77...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........76-81 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter...except 24 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (242). Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.90 in. $$ MIZ031>033-042200- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....81-86...except 74-79 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 49-54 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (512). Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....72-77. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........78-83 percent. 24 HR Trend......42 percent wetter...except 31 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (333). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.56 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042200- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 503 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....83-88. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (704). Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (36). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....74-79. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........69-74 percent. 24 HR Trend......40 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (354). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the south around 15 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.76 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JZ