146
FNAK79 PAFG 170059
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Gold King Creek 279...Northern Forestry Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
459 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showery and mostly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms is
expected tonight and Wednesday. Surface winds during that time
frame will remain mostly light, but any nearby thunderstorms that
form could produce locally gusty and erratic winds. Confidence is
low, but heavier showers with up to a couple tenths of an inch of
accumulation could occur tonight up to midnight or so. High
temperatures are expected in the 60s Wednesday, with minimum relative
humidity values above 40 percent. A warming trend through the week
will bring highs into the 70s Friday and into the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the night. Isolated rain showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................27 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....N/A.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the morning, then numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................44 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph and
                    becoming west.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......West 8 to 13 mph becoming light and variable around
                    5 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...MICHELS
Requested by...Matthew Velderrain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417275.36/AFG
.DELDT 07/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0