232
FXAK69 PAFG 292048
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1248 PM AKDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Warming and drying trend across the Interior will continue this
week. A low approaches the West Coast Sunday night and will bring
rain to areas from the Seward Peninsula south and the Nulato
Hills west. Areas of low clouds and fog at night across the
Central and Eastern Arctic Coast. Widely scattered thunderstorms
expected this afternoon across the Brooks Range and Fortymile
Country.

&&

KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...
- The Southeastern Interior from the Fortymile Country south
  through the Upper Tanana Valley to the Eastern Alaska Range will
  have showers and thunderstorms increase into Wednesday. Isolated
  activity is possible today over the White Mountains and Western
  Alaska Range.

- Temperatures in the mid 70s today in most Interior valleys
  soar into the mid 80s on Wednesday.

- Hot...dry and windy conditions might develop by Wednesday in the
  higher terrain of the central interior increasing wildfire
  concerns.

West Coast and Western Interior...
- A Bering Sea storm will spread more rain into the West Coast and
  Western Interior from the Seward Peninsula south to Bristol Bay. These
  rains will be heaviest Monday, but lighter showers may persist
  through mid week.

- Southeasterly winds over western Alaska increase tonight into
  Tuesday. Sustained values of 20 to 30 mph expected for most
  areas in Bering Sea through the Bering Strait. Southeast winds
  15 to 25 mph develop late Monday through the Norton and
  Kotzebue Sounds.

North Slope and Brooks Range..
- Low stratus and fog continue at night along the Eastern Arctic
  Coast. Conditions should improve during the day.

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms continue over the central and
  eastern Brooks Range...and should spread to the western Brooks
  Range by late Tuesday.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure will strengthen over northeast Alaska
the next several days. The northeasterly flow around this high
will focus showers and thunderstorms over the Fortymile Country
down into the eastern Alaskan Range. This will be enhanced today
and Monday by wrap around flow from the low over the Gulf of
Alaska. Storm activity will also be enhanced on Wednesday as a
strong short wave moves down from the Northern Yukon. In the west
a Bering Sea low pressure system will spread rain and breezy
southeasterly winds over the Western Interior from the Seward
Peninsula south to Bristol Bay tonight through Tuesday. The
central and eastern Interior will experience a warming and drying
trend during this time. A heat advisory might be needed for
Wednesday afternoon for Fairbanks and adjacent zones. Fire weather
concerns will also ramp up and smoke may start to be an issue
again. In the extended more of the same with persistence under
the High Pressure ridge as low pressure continues over the Gulf.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Warming and drying trend will occur for much of the central and
eastern Interior as high pressure aloft strengthens. Temperatures
will soar into the mid 80s with minimum humidities dropping into
the 20s. By Wednesday winds might increase enough to support
hot...dry...and windy Red Flag Warning conditions. We will
continue to monitor zones 834...835 and 838...and coordinate as
necessary. Disturbances will cause shower and thunderstorm
activity to be focused over the Fortymile Country down into the
Eastern Alaska Range. Isolated storms remain possible over the
White Mountains. Out west a Bering sea storm will spread rain and
strong southeast winds from the Seward Peninsula south to Bristol
Bay. This pattern is expected to eventually bring some rain to the
western Brooks Range by late Tuesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No concerns along the rivers. Rain in the southeastern Interior
will lead to some slight rises in rivers there, but no impacts are
expected.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...None.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ801-850-856.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ802-805.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ807.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ811.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ851.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ852.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ853.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ854.

&&

$$

Maier