Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 022225
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.DISCUSSION...A significant pattern change is underway as a
front moves across the area, bringing widespread wetting
rain and cooling temperatures in most of the Western Interior
from the 70s and 80s into the 60s and 70s as remnant upper-level
high-pressure ridging gets pushed to the south this afternoon into
this evening. With increasing moisture, minimum RH values will continue
in the 40s percent or higher, with a few places possibly reaching the upper 30s.
Western Alaska, especially from Galena to Nome and north, will continue
with southwesterly winds mostly in the 15 to 20 mph range
with gusts up to 30 mph, with higher winds likely on the Seward
Peninsula and in the terrain. The front will usher in more stable
air preventing any thunderstorm potential over the ensuing days.

Wednesday onward will see widespread rainfall spread southwest and
temperatures continue to fall, with most areas only making it
into the 50s and 60s Wednesday and mostly just the 50s on
Thursday. Minimum RH values will rise well above critical
thresholds. Increased southwesterly winds will continue on
Wednesday before weakening and becoming more southerly on Thursday.

AKZ928-031630-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     80           90           80           80
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (-5)   51-61 (-12)  43-52        50-60
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (+12)  ABV 40 (+28) 88-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 14-18 G33 SW 13-17 G34 SW 11-15 G30 SW 8-12 G24
CWR                   50           90           70           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Areas of fog. Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 56 to
66. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 56 to 66. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-031630-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     90           90           80           90
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (0)    51-61 (-6)   42-52        51-61
RH % (24h trend)      86-99 (+7)   ABV 40 (+20) 87-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 14-18 G35 SW 15-19 G36 SW 12-16 G31 SW 12-16 G30
CWR                   40           90           70           90
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Areas of fog. Rain. Lows 43 to 52. Highs 53 to 63.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 55 to 65. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-031630-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     30           40           70           80
Temp (24h trend)      42-51 (0)    51-61 (-3)   43-50        48-58
RH % (24h trend)      88-99 (+1)   ABV 40 (+12) 90-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 14-18 G30 SW 12-16 G29 S 15-19 G33  SW 13-17 G28
CWR                   0            10           50           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
44 to 49. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
42 to 48. Highs 48 to 58. Southwest winds around 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 42 to 48.
Highs 47 to 57. South winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ926-031630-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            30           70           90
Temp (24h trend)      45-52 (-2)   53-63 (-8)   43-50        47-57
RH % (24h trend)      82-97 (+2)   ABV 40 (+16) 84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 12-16 G26 SW 10-14 G23 SW 11-15 G25 SW 12-16 G26
CWR                   0            10           50           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows
44 to 50. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 42 to
49. Highs 49 to 59. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows 42 to 48. Highs 49 to 59.
South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ929-031630-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     40           80           70           90
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (-1)   55-65 (-10)  42-52        52-62
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-6)   ABV 40 (+15) 87-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 11-15 G26 SW 12-16 G31 SW 10-14 G27 SW 9-13 G24
CWR                   20           60           50           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Areas of fog. Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 57 to
67. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 56 to 66. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-031630-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            40           50           80
Temp (24h trend)      45-55 (0)    55-65 (-8)   42-52        50-60
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (-8)   ABV 40 (+10) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 10-14 G24 SW 11-15 G26 SW 10-14 G23 SW 11-15 G26
CWR                   0            10           20           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Areas of fog. Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 56 to
66. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 53 to 63. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ951-031630-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           0            40           70
Temp (24h trend)      44-54 (+6)   60-70 (-1)   44-54        59-69
RH % (24h trend)      77-92 (-5)   38-53 (+2)   82-97        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 5-9 G17   SW 7-11 G21  SW 5-9 G17   SW 8-12 G25
CWR                   0            0            10           30
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 61 to 71.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 60 to 70.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 58 to 68. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-031630-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40           80
Temp (24h trend)      45-55 (+1)   60-70 (-3)   43-53        57-67
RH % (24h trend)      71-86 (-15)  40-55 (+3)   83-98        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 7-11 G18  SW 9-13 G22  SW 7-11 G20  S 8-12 G24
CWR                   0            0            10           60
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 57 to 67.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 55 to 65. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-031630-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     90           90           80           80
Temp (24h trend)      37-47 (-3)   48-58 (-5)   36-46        48-58
RH % (24h trend)      87-100 (+12) ABV 40 (+19) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 18-22 G42  SW 15-19 G34 SW 13-17 G32 SW 10-14 G27
CWR                   70           80           70           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 37 to
47. Highs 53 to 63. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 33 to
43. Highs 49 to 59. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows 31 to 41. Highs 50 to 60.
South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-031630-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     80           80           70           70
Temp (24h trend)      41-51 (-3)   52-62 (-4)   41-50        50-60
RH % (24h trend)      88-99 (+13)  ABV 40 (+19) 87-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 19-23 G45  SW 15-19 G34 SW 14-18 G33 S 10-14 G26
CWR                   70           70           60           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 41 to
50. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 41 to
51. Highs 51 to 61. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 50 to 60. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-031630-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     100          90           70           70
Temp (24h trend)      43-51 (-4)   48-57 (-5)   43-51        48-58
RH % (24h trend)      92-100 (+11) ABV 40 (+18) 88-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 15-19 G36  SW 8-12 G20  SW 9-13 G24  S 6-10 G17
CWR                   90           70           60           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain likely. Lows 43 to 51. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 43 to 52. Highs 51 to 61. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 50. Highs 51 to 61. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-031630-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     100          100          80           80
Temp (24h trend)      42-51 (-6)   50-60 (-10)  40-50        53-63
RH % (24h trend)      90-99 (+20)  ABV 40 (+24) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 13-17 G31 SW 8-12 G21  SW 8-12 G21  S 6-10
CWR                   90           90           70           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 56 to 66.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 59 to 69. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 59 to 69. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ913-031630-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     100          90           70           80
Temp (24h trend)      40-50 (-9)   51-61 (-9)   41-50        54-64
RH % (24h trend)      85-99 (+21)  ABV 40 (+21) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 14-18 G34  SW 10-14 G25 SW 10-14 G24 S 6-10 G17
CWR                   100          70           40           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 41 to 50. Highs 57 to 67.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 59 to 69. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 59 to 69. South winds around
10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-031630-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
225 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Rain         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     100          80           70           70
Temp (24h trend)      36-46 (-5)   46-56 (-4)   38-48        47-57
RH % (24h trend)      88-100 (+17) ABV 40 (+17) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 13-17 G30 SW 8-12 G20  SW 6-10 G19  S 5-9
CWR                   100          50           40           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...Rain likely. Areas of fog. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 50 to
60. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 49 to 59. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 50 to 60. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$