Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
644 FNUS75 KTWC 051806 FWSTWC Spot Forecast for SNOWSHED...USFS AZCNF National Weather Service Tucson AZ 1106 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MST on July 05. .DISCUSSION... A good chance of thunderstorms near the wildfire area this afternoon. There are some signs that storm formation may favor western slopes, however even if it does the chance for erratic outflows and additional lighting strikes in the area will be strong. A chance of storms early in the evening, fading quickly after 7 PM. The area will keep a chance of mainly afternoon thunderstorms into next week even as other portions of southeast Arizona further west and northwest try to dry out. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................3. Max temperature.....89-92 degrees. Min humidity........15-18 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 10 knots. TIME (MST) NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........53 53 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CWR.............40 40 LAL.............3 4 Temp............88 90 RH..............23 16 20 FT wind......E 5G6 NE 5G6 Mix hgt (ft)....9500 14200 Transport wind..E 10 NE 9 Haines index....4 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms ending by late evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent. LAL.................3 until 2000, then 2 until 2300, then 1. Min temperature.....64-67 degrees. Max humidity........59-62 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 8 mph early in the evening, then shifting to the southwest 6 to 11 mph early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 6 knots shifting to the west 5 to 6 knots early in the evening, then shifting to the southwest 5 to 9 knots in the late evening and overnight. TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........59 59 35 35 Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC CWR.............30 20 10 10 LAL.............3 2 1 1 Temp............86 76 71 68 RH..............18 29 44 54 20 FT wind......NE 4G6 S 6G7 SW 8G12 SW 6G10 Mix hgt (ft)....9600 100 100 100 Transport wind..N 6 SW 6 SW 9 SW 7 Haines index....5 5 5 4 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 40 percent by mid day. LAL.................1 until 1100, then 3. Max temperature.....86-89 degrees. Min humidity........21-24 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast early in the morning, then shifting to the southwest early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 4 to 5 knots shifting to the west late in the afternoon. TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........16 4 71 71 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CWR.............0 0 40 40 LAL.............1 1 3 4 Temp............66 80 85 86 RH..............60 40 32 25 20 FT wind......SW 5G6 SE 5G6 SE 5G6 W 5G6 Mix hgt (ft)....1000 5600 11800 8900 Transport wind..S 5 SE 4 NE 5 N 6 Haines index....4 3 3 4 $$ Forecaster...MEYER Requested by...ERIC SMITH Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2417458.0/TWC .DELDT 07/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL aztdc@firenet.gov Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson