Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
020
FNUS55 KTWC 021128
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...There will be the daily chance for isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly from Tucson east and
south through the end of the week, with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms along the International Border this weekend into
early next week. High pressure aloft will build to our northwest
late this week into early next week, which will result in drier and
hot conditions. The deeper moisture will get pushed south and east
of the region late this week into early next week, with Min RH
values lowering into the 10-18% range across the lower elevations
and 15-30% in the higher elevations. High temperature will warm
considerably late this week through the weekend, with highs 106-113
degrees from Tucson westward and in the Gila River Valley, and in
the upper 90s to 105 degrees across Santa Cruz and Cochise counties.
Excessive Heat will likely be an issue during this time frame.
Outside of any thunderstorm outflow winds, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the occasional gust
of 20-25 mph.
AZZ150-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9911 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 3 knots shifting to the west 6
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (59466 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8452 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 12 knots shifting to the northwest
8 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (67616 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 102 to
112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 105 to 115. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 12 to 22 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 103 to 113.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 104 to 114.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11183 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 4 knots shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (100647 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............70 to 80 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9596 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 5 knots shifting to the north
8 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (76768 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
16 to 26 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7020 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 3 knots shifting to the west 10
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (70200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............4831 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 4 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (43479 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to
105. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107.
Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. Southeast wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 95 to 105.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9284 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 8 to 9 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (83556 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............9914 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 6 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99140 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 88 to 98.
Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 19 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 88 to 98. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 9 to 15 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 15 to 23 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 87 to 97.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-022215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
425 AM MST Tue Jul 2 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............44 to 54 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11408 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 4 to 8 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (68448 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............69 to 79 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10611 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 7 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (90193 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 84 to 94. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson