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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
151 FNUS55 KTWC 080955 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION... Today should see the lowest minimum relative humidities of the week as moisture is expected to gradually push back into southeastern Arizona in the coming days. Relative humidity values should fall into the single digits in lower elevations today, while west to northwest winds of 12 to 16 mph, with wind gusts up to 25 mph, are expected. Tuesday through Thursday minimum relative humidities should remain in the 10 to 16 percent range in lower elevations and 15 to 30 percent in mountain areas. 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with occasional gusts to 20 mph. Daily chances for thunderstorms begin to arrive Tuesday, with the possibility of strong outflow winds under any thunderstorm. AZZ150-091000- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............10 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15868 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 12 knots shifting to the west 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (158680 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............38 to 48 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........104 to 114 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............16513 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 12 knots shifting to the west 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (181643 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 104 to 114. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 11 to 21 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 96 to 106. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-091000- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............42 to 52 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15663 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 11 knots shifting to the northwest 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (156630 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............18379 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the north 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (220548 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-091000- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............51 to 61 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 14 to 18 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 20 mph becoming north around 10 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............13 to 23 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............13948 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 18 knots shifting to the north 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167376 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............12 to 21 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............15236 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the north 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (182832 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 13 to 23 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 15 to 25 pct. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 89 to 99. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-091000- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 20 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 15 to 19 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13989 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 knots shifting to the west 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167868 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............11716 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the northwest 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (140592 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 80 to 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-091000- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 255 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 13 to 17 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the east after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .TUESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............17455 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 14 knots shifting to the north 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174550 knot-ft). .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............17673 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the north 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (212076 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 17 to 27 pct. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct. .SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson