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FLUS44 KTSA 040944
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
444 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-050900-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
444 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

...Dangerous Heat and Humidity Continues Today...
...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Likely This Afternoon and
   evening...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid to late afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid to late afternoon.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Dangerous heat and humidity will continue today with afternoon heat
indices in the 105 to 112 degree range. Heat advisories and excessive
heat warnings remain in effect until 9 pm for all Eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas.

Strong to severe thunderstorms will likely develop over northeast
Oklahoma by mid to late afternoon, spreading into northwest Arkansas.
Some of these storms will likely be severe with damaging wind gusts
of 70 to 80 mph and hail up to the size of quarters. The severe
threat will begin to diminish by late evening as storms move into
southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.

In addition to the severe threat, locally heavy rainfall is expected
and localized flash flooding may occur in a few locations, mainly
in the more flood prone low lying areas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Decreased heat and humidity are expected behind the cold front on
Friday. At least low thunderstorm chances will exist over the
holiday weekend into the early to middle part of next week as a
series of upper level disturbances move out of the central
Plains. There is some potential for a thunderstorm complex to
impact portions of the area Sunday night. Timing and details will
continue to be refined in the coming days.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Heat related illness will remain a significant concern today.
Additionally, thunderstorms could impact some outdoor Fourth of
July activities. Portions of the heat advisory/warning will
likely be cancelled early as cooler outflow develops from the
expected thunderstorm activity.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$