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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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485 FXUS64 KSJT 010715 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 215 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 ...New LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 116 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Will let the Heat Advisory die at 7 PM this evening, although it may only be a brief lull of a day or two. Trend that stated yesterday continue into this afternoon with temperatures peaking more in the 97 to 102 range with heat index values generally 100-105. Short term blends and raw model data suggest something very similar for tomorrow, with dewpoints falling in the afternoon fast enough to keep heat index below criteria. Hotter temperatures will return for Tuesday so it will likely be only a 1 day reprieve. Winds dropped off enough to allow lows in the some locations to drop down into the lower 70s and that will likely happen again tonight in some areas. Most areas wont be quite that lucky and still see lows in the mid/upper 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 213 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 An upper level ridge centered across the southeast U.S. will dominate the weather across West Central Texas through at least Thursday. This will result in above normal temperatures and dry conditions. Highs on Tuesday will likely be near or exceed Heat Advisory criteria for much of the Concho Valley and Big Country, with highs between 103 and 106. Elsewhere, expect highs between 100 and 103. More of the same for Wednesday, although highs should be a degree or two less hot. Highs on Thursday, Fourth of July, will be in the upper 90s to near 104. On Friday, the aforementioned upper level ridge shifts a bit farther east, while an upper level trough tracks across the Northern and Central Plains. This will send a cold front south into West Central Texas late Friday into Saturday. The front may be a focus for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late Friday into Saturday. For now, PoPs were kept in the slight chance to chance category. Highs Friday and Saturday will be several degrees cooler than what is expected earlier in the week. Expect highs in the mid 90s to near 100. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1243 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024 Generally VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. Some scattered clouds at around 2000ft are possible around sunrise this morning. Otherwise, southerly winds will increase this morning and become gusty this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 101 78 102 78 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 103 77 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 100 74 101 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 100 76 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 102 77 104 78 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 98 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 98 75 99 75 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...SK