Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 031114
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Monument Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
514 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 MDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry conditions are expected today. A weak weather system
passing to the north of the burn site will bring a gusty breeze after
11 am after mainly diurnal wind in the morning. There is around a
1 in 4 chance of a wind gust past 25 mph this afternoon. This evening,
a stray shower or thunderstorms with erratic wind can`t be ruled out,
but the chance is 10 percent or less. Wind should be less on Thursday
with any chance of showers remaining to the north of the burn area.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1100, then west 10 to 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South around 10 mph until 0700, then northwest
                    until 1300, then west around 20 mph.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL after 1500.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph until 0700, then north until
                    0800, then west 10 to 16 mph until 1100, then
                    20 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Excellent after 1400.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  5   5   10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  50  51  52  56  58  60  62  62  62  63  61
RH..............47  46  46  46  42  37  35  31  31  30  27  29
20 FT wind dir..S   NW  N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   6   8   10  11  12  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   10  12  14  16  17  17  18  18
Ridge wind dir..S   NW  N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.5 2.5 4.5 6.0 7.0 8.0 8.5 9.5 10  9.5
Transp wind dir.S   N   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  13  16  20  23  24  25  26  26  25
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   4   29  64  102 137 166 188 224 234 214

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 17
                    mph until 2200, then light.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 15 to 20 mph until 2300. Light after
                    0300.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL until 2000.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 25 mph until 2100, then northwest 7
                    to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent early in the evening decreasing to
                    very good late in the night until 2000. Poor
                    after 2100.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  15  25  45  50  35  25  20  15  10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  62  58  54  51  51  50  48  46  44  42  41
RH..............24  26  30  35  41  42  46  49  53  57  65  67
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  11  10  8   6   5   4   4   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.17  16  14  12  10  6   6   6   4
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..20  20  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...7.5 6.0 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.25  22  17  15  13  10  9   9   8   7   7   7
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/1000162 113 22  3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1300, then northwest 7 to 10
                    mph with gusts to around 14 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 0900. Northwest 10 to 15 mph
                    after 1100.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL after 1200.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 15 mph until 1200, then 18 to 20
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. Very good after 1300.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  42  45  48  51  54  58  59  61  63  63  62
RH..............73  67  60  56  50  43  36  33  29  26  26  26
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   6   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.            4   6   7   10  10  12  13  14  14
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  N   NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 1.0 2.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 7.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   12  15  18  18  20  20  20  20
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   7   17  43  70  104 111 124 131 126 121

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Hattings
Requested by...Cody Norton
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417265.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cody.norton@usda.gov