Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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132
FNUS55 KPSR 081009
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
309 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue as high pressure dominates
overhead. Afternoon high temperatures will generally be in the 112-
122 degree range across the lower deserts and in the 95-110 degree
range across the higher terrain. MinRH values will range from 5-15%
across the lower deserts and 10-20% in the higher terrain, with
overnight recoveries generally in the 30-50% range. Winds will be
fairly light and tend to follow their typical diurnal patterns, with
some occasional afternoon gusts up around 20 mph. The hot and dry
conditions will keep the fire danger high.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-082215-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
309 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................111-117.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................7-12 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................80-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................26-41 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming south 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................109-115.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................10-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 109-114. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-115. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 109-114. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 105-111.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 80-90. Highs 103-109.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-082215-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
309 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024 /309 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 2024/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................115-120.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................7-13 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 7 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................79-84.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................32-57 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................112-118.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................11-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........4700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 112-118. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 113-118. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 111-116. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
82-87. Highs 108-113.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 82-87.
Highs 107-112.

$$

AZZ133-082215-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
309 AM MST Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................97-111.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................6-11 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................67-84.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................27-45 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming east after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph in the
  evening becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of
  showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................95-110.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................11-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming
  10 percent in the afternoon.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 94-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 95-110. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67-84. Highs 94-109. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-107.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows 67-83. Highs 90-105.

$$

CAZ232-082215-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
309 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................112-121.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................5-11 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southeast in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................79-90.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................16-60 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................109-119.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................8-16 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-88. Highs 109-118. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-88. Highs 109-119. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-88. Highs 107-116. South winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
82-88. Highs 103-113.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-88. Highs 102-112.

$$

CAZ230-082215-
Joshua Tree National Park-
309 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................103-116.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................5-9 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................78-88.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................13-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................101-116.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................6-10 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 100-114. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 100-115. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 74-87. Highs 98-112. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows
73-86. Highs 94-108.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-84. Highs 92-107.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday July 15th through Wednesday July
17th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.